USD/CAD 1H SELL

· 20 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (83.10)
USD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/07)●●○Previous 6.81in 5h
  • TodayUSDCPI (Jul)●●○Forecast 334.03Previous 333.95in 7h
  • TodayUSDInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous -0.4%in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Triple Bottom Retreat Down chart_pattern 2.24
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.16
Double Bottom Retreat Down chart_pattern 2.05
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.05
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.96
SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.82
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.78
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.76
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.72
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.69
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.69
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.69
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.60
EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.57
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.56
AROON Cross Up indicator 1.38
AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.38
AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.34
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.30
Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.96

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 1H with high probability and very strong strength.
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 1D) are in solid bearish trends, supporting downside.
  • Key support at 1.39262; a break below could accelerate selling.
  • Multiple signals (trendline, patterns, indicators) align for a bearish move.
The USD/CAD 1H signal is strongly bearish, with an 89% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple signals—Trendline Retreat Down, Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Down, AROON Cross Up, AROON Strong Uptrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, and CMO Zero Cross Down—indicates a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 1D) are already in solid bearish trends, while the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, suggesting that the bearish move may be a continuation of the larger downtrend. The key levels to watch are resistance at 1.39636 and support at 1.39262. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support might lead to consolidation.

The alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish on higher timeframes, which supports the sell signal. The multiple retreat patterns and indicator crossovers suggest that buyers are losing momentum, and the bearish trend on the daily chart adds weight to the downside. However, the bullish bias on the lower timeframes could cause short-term pullbacks or choppy price action. Traders should monitor the price action around the support level, as a sustained break below could confirm the bearish continuation, while a failure to break support might lead to a reversal or sideways movement.
Catalysts
  • Higher timeframe bearish trends (2H, 4H, 1D) align with the sell signal.
  • Confluence of multiple bearish signals: Trendline Retreat Down, Double/Triple Bottom Retreat Down, and indicator crossovers.
  • Strong trend scores on higher timeframes (3/5) indicate solid downtrend momentum.
  • Resistance at 1.39636 is likely to cap upside moves.
Risk Factors
  • Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which could cause short-term bounces or choppy price action.
  • If the price breaks above resistance at 1.39636, the bearish thesis weakens.
  • Momentum indicators (AROON, BOP, CMO) show conflicting signals (some up, some down), suggesting possible indecision.
  • A failure to break below support at 1.39262 could lead to a range-bound market or reversal.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 11:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.39636 2026-08-10
R2 1.40289 2026-08-07
R3 1.40374 2026-08-06
S1 1.39262 2026-08-10
S2 1.39253 2026-08-07

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