USD/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (46.10)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CAD
Full calendar- TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/07)●●○Previous 6.81in 5h
- TodayUSDInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous -0.4%in 7h
- TodayUSDCore Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0%in 7h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.29 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.25 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.08 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.04 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.65 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.93 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.82 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence across multiple signal types on the 30M chart.
- All timeframes align bearish, with solid trends on 2H, 4H, and 1D.
- Immediate downside target is support at 1.39262; resistance at 1.39571 is the invalidation level.
- Watch for a potential short-term bounce due to the STOCH KD Cross Up signal.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. This confluence across multiple signal groups—support/resistance, indicators, candlesticks, Fibonacci, chart patterns, and trendlines—points to strong selling pressure. The bearish alignment is consistent across all timeframes, with the 2H, 4H, and 1D trends rated as solid (3/5), while shorter timeframes are choppy but still bearish. The nearest resistance at 1.39571 is the key level to watch; a break above it would weaken the bearish case. Support at 1.39262 is the immediate downside target, with further downside possible if that gives way.
Traders should note that the signal strength is very strong with a 98% probability, but the choppy nature of the 15m and 30m timeframes suggests some noise. The STOCH KD Cross Up among the signals could indicate a short-term bounce, but the majority of signals remain bearish. The overall trend structure supports a continuation lower, but traders should manage risk carefully given the mixed short-term momentum signals.
Traders should note that the signal strength is very strong with a 98% probability, but the choppy nature of the 15m and 30m timeframes suggests some noise. The STOCH KD Cross Up among the signals could indicate a short-term bounce, but the majority of signals remain bearish. The overall trend structure supports a continuation lower, but traders should manage risk carefully given the mixed short-term momentum signals.
Catalysts
- ▼ High probability (98%) and very strong signal strength.
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals from different groups (trendline, pattern, indicator, etc.).
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on higher timeframes.
- ▼ Presence of a higher-timeframe trendline retreat adds to the bearish confluence.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 15m and 30M could lead to false breakouts.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up signal suggests possible short-term upward correction.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.39571 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Nearby support at 1.39262 may act as a bounce point, slowing the decline.
Symbol
USD/CAD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 08:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.39571 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 1.39636 | 2026-08-10 |
| R3 | 1.40289 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.39262 | 2026-08-10 |
| S2 | 1.39253 | 2026-08-07 |
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