USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-11 19:30 UTC · 15 hours ago

BUY

98%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 98% (57.91) ▼ Bearish 2% (1.30)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

11:00TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/07)●●○Previous 6.81in 2h
12:30TodayUSDInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous -0.4%in 3h
12:30TodayUSDCore Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0%in 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.17
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.16
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.97
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.95
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.85
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.32
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.23
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 30M chart, indicating strong short-term momentum.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 159.38500 and support at 159.05500 for direction.
The signal is very strong, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including Trendline Retreat Up, AROON Cross Up, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up, among others. This confluence across oscillators and trend indicators points to strong short-term buying momentum, likely a bounce within a broader bearish context. The signal strength is marked as very strong with 100% probability, reflecting the alignment of these indicators at the same moment.

However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 8H, 12H, and 1D are bearish with solid to very strong trends, while the 4H is bearish and forming. The 15M, 30M, and 1H are choppy and sideways, with the 30M itself bearish. This suggests the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 159.38500 and support at 159.05500. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, but failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators on the 30M chart (RSI, CCI, CMO, BOP, etc.)
▲ Trendline retreat up suggests buyers stepping in at a key trendline.
▲ Strong signal strength (very strong) and high probability (100%) based on the indicator cluster.
▲ Support at 159.05500 may provide a floor for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which may cap upside or reverse the bounce.
▼ The 30M trend is bearish, so the bullish signal is against the immediate trend.
▼ If price breaks below support at 159.05500, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes could lead to false signals.