AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
98%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.23)
▼ Bearish 98% (61.29)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 17h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.89 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.80 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.62 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.83 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals are clustered on the 30-minute chart, all pointing to a short-term sell opportunity.
- The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are in solid downtrends, supporting the sell signal.
- Watch the 112.567 resistance as the invalidation level; a break above would nullify the setup.
- The nearest support at 112.067 is the first potential target for the move.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend. The combination of a Trendline Retreat Down, Bearish Engulfing candlestick, and Resistance Level Retreat Down indicates that price has been rejected from a key resistance zone, with sellers stepping in. The Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) suggests the retracement has reached a deep level, increasing the odds of a reversal. Momentum indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down—confirm that buying pressure is fading and that the short-term bias has flipped to bearish.
While the 30-minute and other intraday timeframes (15m, 2h, 4h) are still bullish but choppy, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are solidly bearish. This alignment suggests that the current sell signal is likely the start of a move that aligns with the larger trend. The nearest resistance at 112.567 is the key invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish setup. The immediate target is the nearest support at 112.067, which could act as a first profit-taking zone.
While the 30-minute and other intraday timeframes (15m, 2h, 4h) are still bullish but choppy, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are solidly bearish. This alignment suggests that the current sell signal is likely the start of a move that aligns with the larger trend. The nearest resistance at 112.567 is the key invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish setup. The immediate target is the nearest support at 112.067, which could act as a first profit-taking zone.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple signal groups (trendline, candlestick, indicator, Fibonacci, support/resistance) are all aligned bearish.
- ▼ Deep Fibonacci retracement (79%) increases the likelihood of a reversal.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (8h, 12h, 1d) are solidly bearish, providing a tailwind.
- ▼ The Bearish Engulfing pattern at resistance adds confluence to the sell signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30-minute trend is still labeled bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a counter-trend move within a broader consolidation.
- ▲ A break above the 112.567 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade quickly given the choppy intraday conditions (low trend strength on lower timeframes).
- ▲ The nearest support at 112.067 is only about 500 pips away, so the potential reward may be limited.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 02:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.56700 | 2026-08-11 |
| S1 | 112.06700 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 111.89300 | 2026-08-10 |
| S3 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |
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