GBP/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY
94%
▲ Bullish 94% (58.82)
▼ Bearish 6% (4.02)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayGBPRICS House Price Balance (Jul)●●○Forecast -30%Previous -33%in 16h
- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Bull Flag | chart_pattern | 3.30 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.59 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▲ | Symmetrical Triangle | chart_pattern | 2.14 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.81 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | RSI OB Entry | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.60 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart, but the higher timeframes (8H+) are still bearish.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 215.236; a break above could open the door for further upside.
- Support at 211.455 is the key invalidation level; a close below would negate the bullish setup.
- Momentum is turning up, but the choppy lower timeframes suggest caution.
The GBP/JPY 2H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up, a Symmetrical Triangle breakout, and a Bull Flag. These pattern-based signals are reinforced by momentum indicators: the AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend indicate the bearish momentum is fading, while the AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, and MOM Zero Cross Up all point to a shift in buying pressure. The confluence of these signals across candlestick, chart pattern, indicator, and trendline groups gives a very strong bullish bias on the 2H timeframe.
However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed. The 15m through 2H timeframes are bullish but choppy/sideways, suggesting near-term indecision, while the 4H is starting to form an uptrend. In contrast, the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes remain bearish with solid trends, indicating that the larger trend is still down. This means the bullish signals on the 2H are likely a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 215.236 and support at 211.455. A sustained break above resistance could signal a larger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case.
However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed. The 15m through 2H timeframes are bullish but choppy/sideways, suggesting near-term indecision, while the 4H is starting to form an uptrend. In contrast, the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes remain bearish with solid trends, indicating that the larger trend is still down. This means the bullish signals on the 2H are likely a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 215.236 and support at 211.455. A sustained break above resistance could signal a larger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple pattern breakouts (Trendline Break Up, Symmetrical Triangle, Bull Flag) provide strong confluence.
- ▲ Momentum indicators (AROON, BOP, MOM) all point to a shift from bearish to bullish pressure.
- ▲ The 4H timeframe is starting to form an uptrend, which could align with the 2H signal.
- ▲ The signal strength is very strong with an 86% probability, indicating high confidence in the setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ The bullish trend on lower timeframes is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear directional momentum.
- ▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 215.236, the bullish signal may fade.
- ▼ A drop below support at 211.455 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a sharp decline.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
94%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 22:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 215.23600 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 218.67600 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 209.56500 | 2026-08-03 |
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