GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
97%
▲ Bullish 97% (81.36)
▼ Bearish 3% (2.50)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayGBPRICS House Price Balance (Jul)●●○Forecast -30%Previous -33%in 22h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 22h
- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 22h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 3.11 |
| ▲ | Triple Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 2.83 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.76 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.51 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.40 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.10 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on 30M, but higher timeframes are bearish, so treat as a counter-trend move.
- Immediate upside target is resistance at 215.22200; downside invalidation is support at 214.75400.
- Momentum indicators (BOP, WILLR, STOCHRSI) align bullish, but choppy lower timeframes suggest careful entry.
- Watch for a break above resistance to confirm a potential trend reversal; otherwise, expect a retracement.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including Trendline Retreat Up, Double and Triple Top Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside candlestick and Fibonacci confirmations. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure at current levels, with the 30M trend scoring a very strong 97% probability. The lower timeframes (15M to 4H) are all bullish, though choppy, indicating that momentum is building but not yet smooth. The 4H shows trend formation, aligning with the bullish bias.
However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish with solid trends, creating a conflicting backdrop. This means the current bullish move is likely a counter-trend retracement within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 215.22200 and support at 214.75400. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the broader bearish trend.
However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish with solid trends, creating a conflicting backdrop. This means the current bullish move is likely a counter-trend retracement within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 215.22200 and support at 214.75400. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the broader bearish trend.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish chart patterns (Trendline Retreat, Double/Triple Top Retreat) converging on the 30M chart.
- ▲ EMA Retreat Up and BOP Zero Cross Up confirm bullish momentum.
- ▲ Lower timeframe trends (15M to 4H) are all bullish, aligning with the signal.
- ▲ High probability score (97%) and very strong strength indicate high confidence in the setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8H to 1D) are bearish, suggesting the bullish move may be a retracement.
- ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes could lead to false breakouts.
- ▼ A drop below support at 214.75400 would invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ Resistance at 215.22200 may cap upside and trigger a reversal.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 215.22200 | 2026-08-11 |
| R2 | 215.23600 | 2026-08-10 |
| S1 | 214.75400 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |