GBP/USD 2H SELL

· 1 day ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (63.26)
GBP/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 9h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 9h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
RSI OB Exit indicator 2.16
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.14
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.12
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.89
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.84
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.73
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.67
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.25
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.11
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 2H chart shows a strong bearish reversal with multiple confirming signals.
  • Key support at 1.34913 is the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate selling.
  • Resistance at 1.35301 is the level to watch for a potential bullish reversal if price reclaims it.
  • Higher timeframes remain bullish, so this may be a pullback within an uptrend, not a full reversal.
The 2H GBP/USD signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of indicators and candlestick patterns aligning to suggest a downward move. The Trendline Retreat Down indicates price has pulled back to a trendline and is now reversing, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and RSI OB Exit confirm weakening buying pressure. The STOCH KD Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit further corroborate bearish momentum, and the Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) signals a break below a key retracement level. The Bearish Engulfing and Belt Hold Bearish patterns on the candlestick chart add a clear visual confirmation of seller control.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 2H signal is bearish, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are all bullish, which suggests this could be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend. The nearest support at 1.34913 is a critical level to watch; a break below it could confirm a deeper correction, while a bounce from this level might invalidate the bearish signal. Conversely, resistance at 1.35301 is the immediate upside barrier. The strong probability (82%) and the confluence of multiple signal groups (candlestick, fibonacci, sr, indicator, trendline) lend weight to the bearish case, but traders should be cautious of the bullish higher timeframe trend.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of signals: Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, Fibonacci Break DownTrend, and two bearish candlestick patterns.
  • Strong trend score (82% probability) and high signal strength.
  • Multiple signal groups (candlestick, fibonacci, sr, indicator, trendline) aligning in the same direction.
  • Price retreating from a trendline and breaking below a Fibonacci level, suggesting a shift in momentum.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a bounce.
  • The 2H trend is classified as 'choppy/sideways' (1/5), indicating weak trend conviction on this timeframe.
  • If price holds above the 1.34913 support and reverses, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
  • A break back above the 1.35301 resistance would negate the bearish setup and signal a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-12 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.35301 2026-08-10
S1 1.34913 2026-08-11
S2 1.34338 2026-08-07
S3 1.34168 2026-08-03

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