XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL
90%
▲ Bullish 10% (2.64)
▼ Bearish 90% (24.56)
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Signal evolution
Events for XRP/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDCore PPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.7%Previous 4.7%in 17h
- TomorrowUSDCore PPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 17h
- TomorrowUSDPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 5%Previous 5.5%in 17h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.69 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.56 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.98 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | CCI Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.23 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.15 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on 4H with 90% probability and very strong strength.
- Trend is bearish from 1H to 12H, but 15m and 30m are still bullish, indicating potential short-term bounce.
- Key resistance at 1.04880 and support at 1.01280 are critical levels to watch.
- Multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator, fibonacci) align for a sell.
The 4H chart for XRP/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with ten indicators converging on a sell direction at very strong strength (90% probability). The signal set includes a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, SMA), all pointing to downward momentum. The trend alignment is clearly bearish from the 1H to the 12H timeframe, with solid trend scores on the 4H and 8H, and a forming bearish trend on the 1D. However, the 15m and 30m are still bullish, suggesting a possible short-term pullback before the larger bearish move continues.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.04880 and support at 1.01280. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the setup. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator, fibonacci) adds weight to the signal, but the short-term bullish momentum on lower timeframes presents a risk of a bounce. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a failure to break support could lead to a consolidation or reversal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.04880 and support at 1.01280. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the setup. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator, fibonacci) adds weight to the signal, but the short-term bullish momentum on lower timeframes presents a risk of a bounce. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a failure to break support could lead to a consolidation or reversal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Ten bearish signals fired simultaneously, including BOP, CCI, MACD, STOCHF, and multiple moving average retreats.
- ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
- ▼ Signal strength is 'very_strong' with 90% probability, indicating high conviction.
- ▼ Confluence of candlestick, indicator, and fibonacci groups reinforces the bearish case.
Risk Factors
- ▲ 15m and 30m are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the bearish signal.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.04880, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ The 1D trend is only 'forming' bearish, so the larger timeframe may not fully support a sustained decline.
- ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could cause a sideways consolidation before the move.
Symbol
XRP/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
90%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 00:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.04880 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 1.09330 | 2026-08-02 |
| R3 | 1.09500 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 1.01280 | 2026-08-07 |