AUD/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL
87%
▲ Bullish 13% (7.28)
▼ Bearish 87% (48.13)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 10h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 10h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 10h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross | indicator | 2.50 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.49 |
| ▲ | ULTOSC OB Exit | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.77 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.73 |
| ▲ | MACD Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | Closing Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 0.87 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the broader trend is bullish.
- Resistance at 0.70663 and support at 0.70435 are the critical levels to monitor.
- Signal strength is weak (55%), so position sizing should be conservative.
- Higher timeframes are choppy, indicating limited directional conviction.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of SELL signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Up, ULTOSC OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit, SAR Flip Bullish, SMA 50/200 Death Cross, and a Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at 24%. While the overall trend across timeframes is bullish, the higher timeframes are choppy/sideways with weak trend scores (1/5), suggesting limited upside momentum. The confluence of overbought exits and a death cross on the 30-minute indicates a potential short-term pullback within the broader bullish structure.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70663 and support at 0.70435. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold above resistance could invalidate the sell signal. Given the weak signal strength (55% probability), traders should treat this as a scalp-level opportunity rather than a major trend reversal.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70663 and support at 0.70435. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold above resistance could invalidate the sell signal. Given the weak signal strength (55% probability), traders should treat this as a scalp-level opportunity rather than a major trend reversal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of overbought exits (ULTOSC, WILLR) and a death cross on the 30-minute timeframe.
- ▼ Fibonacci retreat at 24% suggests price is pulling back from a recent high within a downtrend.
- ▼ BOP zero cross down and MACD zero cross up indicate mixed momentum but lean bearish on the short term.
- ▼ Trendline break up adds to the bearish case as price may revert to the broken trendline.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The overall trend across all timeframes is bullish, which could overpower the short-term sell signal.
- ▲ If price holds above resistance at 0.70663, the sell signal is invalidated.
- ▲ Weak trend scores (1/5) on higher timeframes suggest the market is choppy, which can lead to false signals.
- ▲ The SAR flip bullish and MACD zero cross up are contrarian indicators that could signal a bounce.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
87%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70663 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 0.70908 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 0.70435 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 0.70397 | 2026-08-11 |