GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
65%
▲ Bullish 35% (18.31)
▼ Bearish 65% (33.24)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
- August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
- August 18, 2026GBPUnemployment Rate (Jun)●●●Forecast 4.9%Previous 4.9%in 4 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Double Bottom | chart_pattern | 2.56 |
| ▼ | Triple Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.39 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 2.29 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.25 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.17 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.07 |
| ▲ | Triple Bottom | chart_pattern | 2.04 |
| ▲ | MACD Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.41 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.08 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.93 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down and failed bottom patterns, points to continued downside.
- All timeframes are bearish, with solid trends on the 1h, 12h, and 1d, reinforcing the sell signal.
- Watch the nearest support at 214.779; a break below could accelerate selling. Resistance at 215.248 is the key invalidation level.
- The MACD Zero Cross Up is a lone bullish signal, so be alert for a short-term bounce.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and multiple bottom patterns (Double Bottom, Triple Bottom) that have also retreated downward, indicating that what initially looked like reversal attempts have failed and sellers have regained control. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the WILLR OB Exit suggests overbought conditions are unwinding. MACD Zero Cross Up, however, is a counter-signal, hinting at a possible short-term bounce, but the overall confluence of bearish signals outweighs this.
Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 1h, 12h, and 1d timeframes showing solid trends (3/5), while the 30m, 2h, and 8h are forming trends (2/5). The 15m and 4h are choppy, but the higher-timeframe alignment supports the bearish case. Key levels to watch are resistance at 215.248 and support at 214.779. A break below support could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 1h, 12h, and 1d timeframes showing solid trends (3/5), while the 30m, 2h, and 8h are forming trends (2/5). The 15m and 4h are choppy, but the higher-timeframe alignment supports the bearish case. Key levels to watch are resistance at 215.248 and support at 214.779. A break below support could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with solid bearish trends on higher timeframes.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish patterns (Trendline Retreat Down, Double/Triple Bottom Retreat Down) and indicator signals (BOP, WILLR).
- ▼ Holding below resistance at 215.248 and proximity to support at 214.779.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The MACD Zero Cross Up suggests possible bullish momentum, which could trigger a bounce.
- ▲ The 15m and 4h timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend strength in the short term.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 215.248 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The 'moderate' strength rating implies the move may lack conviction, so manage expectations.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
65%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-08-13 18:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 215.24800 | 2026-08-12 |
| R2 | 215.37800 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 214.77900 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 214.53200 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |
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