GBP/USD – 2H – SELL

2026-08-13 16:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

95%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 5% (3.57) ▼ Bearish 95% (61.87)

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 7h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 7h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	3.11
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.68
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.23
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)	fibonacci	2.01
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.96
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.80
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.03
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish reversal signal cluster on the 2H chart suggests a potential pullback or trend change.
The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are still bullish, so the 2H sell signal may be a correction rather than a full reversal.
Key levels to watch: support at 1.34913 and resistance at 1.35444.
The signal probability is high (87%) and strength is very strong, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend adds uncertainty.

The GBP/USD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Double Top, both classic reversals. This is reinforced by a Death Cross on the 20/50 SMAs, a BOP Zero Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at the 79% level. Together, these indicate that the recent up-move has stalled and that sellers are gaining control on the 2H timeframe.

However, the broader trend remains bullish across all higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D), with solid trend scores of 3/5. This creates a conflict: the 2H bearish reversal is against the higher-timeframe uptrend. The nearest support at 1.34913 is the first downside target; a break below could open the door to further declines, but the bullish higher timeframes may limit the downside. The nearest resistance at 1.35444 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Death Cross) align on the 2H chart.
▼ Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at 79% suggests price has retraced to a key level and may resume the downtrend.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and MAMA Cross Up indicate bearish momentum and potential trend shift.
▼ The 2H signal is very strong with 87% probability, increasing confidence in the short-term bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish (though choppy), suggesting short-term buying pressure.
▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.34913, the bearish signal may weaken.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.35444 would invalidate the bearish setup.