TRX/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL
69%
▲ Bullish 31% (3.26)
▼ Bearish 69% (7.23)
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Signal evolution
Events for TRX/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 15h
- TomorrowUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 15h
- TomorrowUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 15h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HUPVery strong trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals are firing on the 4H, but the higher timeframe trend is still bullish, so this is a counter-trend move.
- Key support at 0.32590 is the line in the sand; a break below could confirm the bearish reversal.
- Resistance at 0.33760 is the immediate barrier; a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
- Oversold conditions (WILLR OS, STOCHF cross up) suggest a possible short-term bounce, so watch for pullbacks.
The 4H TRX/USDT signal is bearish, driven by a confluence of indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, and a Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%). These signals collectively indicate that selling pressure is building and that the price is retreating from recent highs, with momentum shifting to the downside. The WILLR OS Entry and STOCHF KD Cross Up suggest that the market is oversold in the short term, which could lead to a temporary bounce, but the overall bearish alignment on the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes supports the continuation of the downtrend.
However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H) remain bullish, with the 4H showing a very strong trend (4/5). This creates a conflict: the bearish signal is a counter-trend move against the dominant bullish structure. The nearest support at 0.32590 is a critical level; if price breaks below it, the bearish case strengthens. Conversely, resistance at 0.33760 is the immediate hurdle for any upside. The signal's moderate strength and 69% probability suggest a decent edge, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.
However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H) remain bullish, with the 4H showing a very strong trend (4/5). This creates a conflict: the bearish signal is a counter-trend move against the dominant bullish structure. The nearest support at 0.32590 is a critical level; if price breaks below it, the bearish case strengthens. Conversely, resistance at 0.33760 is the immediate hurdle for any upside. The signal's moderate strength and 69% probability suggest a decent edge, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple indicators align bearishly: BOP, BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, and Fibonacci all point down.
- ▼ The 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are all bearish, showing trend formation on lower timeframes.
- ▼ Fibonacci retreat down trend at 79% indicates strong selling momentum.
- ▼ The signal has a 69% probability, suggesting a moderate edge.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are bullish, with the 4H showing a very strong trend (4/5), which could overpower the bearish signal.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.33760, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
- ▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS, STOCHF cross up) might lead to a bounce, stalling the decline.
- ▲ The signal is moderate strength, so the move might lack momentum.
Symbol
TRX/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
69%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-13 16:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.33760 | 2026-08-11 |
| S1 | 0.32590 | 2026-08-06 |
| S2 | 0.32540 | 2026-08-03 |
| S3 | 0.32350 | 2026-07-28 |