USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

2026-08-13 16:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

94%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 94% (22.75) ▼ Bearish 6% (1.49)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 7h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 7h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	3.09
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.59
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.58
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.40
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%)	fibonacci	1.37
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.24
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple indicator crossovers.
Key resistance at 1.40374 is the immediate upside target.
Support at 1.39078 acts as the invalidation level for the bullish setup.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) remain bearish, suggesting a possible counter-trend move.

The USD/CAD 2H chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, and multiple momentum oscillators crossing above their midlines (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, BBANDS MIDDLE). This confluence suggests a strong short-term bullish impulse, with the signal probability rated at 91% and very strong strength. The nearest resistance at 1.40374 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.39078 provides a downside buffer.

However, the broader trend context is bearish, with solid downtrends on the 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes, and mixed signals on lower timeframes. The 2H itself is still classified as bearish and choppy, so this bullish signal may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal. The alignment of multiple indicators does add conviction, but traders should be cautious about the higher timeframe bearish pressure, which could cap upside or lead to a quick fade.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 13 bullish signals across trendline, momentum, and candlestick groups.
▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, CCI, CMO, STOCHF) crossing above their midlines, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
▲ Trendline Break and Retreat Up patterns confirm a bullish reversal from a recent low.
▲ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 1D) are bearish, which could limit upside or reverse the move.
▼ The 2H trend is still classified as bearish, so the signal may be a counter-trend bounce.
▼ A break below support at 1.39078 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Nearby resistance at 1.40374 may provide selling pressure, especially if the broader downtrend resumes.