USD/CAD 8H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
97%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 69% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 3% (2.65) ▼ Bearish 97% (78.33)
USD/CAD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 7h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 7h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Descending Triangle chart_pattern 4.08
Triple Top chart_pattern 3.68
Double Top chart_pattern 3.48
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.77
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.54
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.20
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.19
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.99
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.95
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.95
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.93
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.85
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.85
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.85
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.64
MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.59
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.48
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.11

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: multiple patterns and indicators align on the 8H chart.
  • Trend is bearish across most timeframes, with solid trend scores on 4H, 8H, and 1D.
  • Key resistance at 1.40799 is the line in the sand; a break above would signal weakness in the sell setup.
  • Momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC) are all below zero, confirming downside momentum.
The USD/CAD 8H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Triple Top, Descending Triangle, and multiple momentum oscillators crossing below zero (BOP, MOM, ROC). This confluence suggests strong selling pressure and a likely continuation of the downtrend. The trend is consistently bearish across most timeframes, with solid trend scores on the 4H, 8H, and 1D, while shorter timeframes are choppy but still leaning bearish. The nearest resistance at 1.40799 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

The alignment of multiple chart patterns and trendline breaks on the 8H timeframe, combined with solid trend scores on higher timeframes, reinforces the bearish outlook. The momentum indicators are in sync, all pointing downward. However, the lack of a defined support level below means that the downside could be open, but also that any bounce could be sharp. Traders should monitor the 1.40799 resistance closely; as long as price stays below it, the bearish bias remains intact.
Catalysts
  • Multiple chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top, Descending Triangle) all point to bearish continuation.
  • Trendline Break Down adds technical confirmation to the bearish case.
  • Consistent bearish trend across 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes with solid trend scores.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC) are all crossing below zero, aligning with the bearish direction.
Risk Factors
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 1.40799 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and weak, which could lead to whipsaws.
  • The 30m timeframe is actually bullish, which might signal a short-term bounce.
  • Lack of a clear support level below could lead to a sharp reversal if the sell momentum fades.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Probability 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40799 2026-08-04
R2 1.41286 2026-07-28
R3 1.42385 2026-07-06

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