USD/CHF – 30M – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (18.35)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TodayCHFGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 4h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 10h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 10h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.75 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.34 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish signals fired on the 30M chart, but higher timeframes are bearish and choppy, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 0.81456 and support at 0.80815; a break above resistance confirms bullish momentum, while a loss of support invalidates the signal.
- The Death Cross on the 20/50 EMA and SAR Flip Bearish indicate lingering bearish pressure, so caution is advised.
- Strong trend scores are lacking across timeframes, so the signal's probability of 75% may be optimistic.
The USD/CHF 30-minute signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Up, and a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 0% level. These signals suggest that buying pressure is emerging after a period of oversold conditions, and the price is attempting to reclaim upward momentum. However, the higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are predominantly bearish and choppy, with trend scores of 1/5, indicating that the broader trend is not yet aligned with the bullish signal. The 8h and 1d timeframes show a bullish bias, but they are also choppy, so the bullish signal is primarily a short-term counter-trend move.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81456 and support at 0.80815. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. The presence of a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMA and a SAR Flip Bearish adds caution, suggesting that the trend is still fragile. Traders should monitor these levels closely and consider the conflicting higher timeframe trends before acting.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81456 and support at 0.80815. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. The presence of a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMA and a SAR Flip Bearish adds caution, suggesting that the trend is still fragile. Traders should monitor these levels closely and consider the conflicting higher timeframe trends before acting.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish indicators fired simultaneously, including BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and EMA 200 Retreat Up.
- ▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 0% level suggests a potential reversal from a key retracement point.
- ▲ The 8h and 1d timeframes show a bullish bias, providing some longer-term support.
- ▲ The price is near the nearest support, which could act as a springboard for a bounce.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are bearish and choppy, conflicting with the bullish signal.
- ▼ The EMA 20/50 Death Cross and SAR Flip Bearish indicate ongoing bearish momentum.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.80815 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ Trend scores are weak (1/5) across most timeframes, suggesting low conviction in the move.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81456 | 2026-08-13 |
| S1 | 0.80815 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 0.80686 | 2026-08-10 |
| S3 | 0.80611 | 2026-08-10 |