USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-13 16:00 UTC · 12 hours ago

BUY

80%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 80% (16.04) ▼ Bearish 20% (4.01)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 10h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 10h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 10h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.33
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.20
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.05
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.88
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.01
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bullish signals are firing on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframes are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
Key resistance at 159.48100 and support at 159.17700 are the levels to watch; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while a break below would invalidate the signal.
The signal has high probability (79%) and strong strength, but the bearish trend across multiple timeframes adds risk.
Use tight risk management: consider placing a stop below the nearest support and targeting the resistance level.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a BUY, driven by a cluster of bullish indicators despite the broader bearish trend across timeframes. Key signals include a Trendline Break Down, Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Up, and a SAR Flip Bearish. These collectively suggest a short-term bullish reversal or a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. The confluence of these signals at the 30-minute level, along with a high probability (79%) and strong strength, indicates a potential upward move, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframes.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish, with the 15m, 30m, and 1h showing trend forming (2/5), while 2h and 4h are choppy/sideways (1/5). The 8h, 12h, and 1d are in solid downtrends (3/5), which suggests that any bullish move on the 30m is likely a counter-trend rally. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.48100 and support at 159.17700. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish signal and confirm the broader bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals cluster on the 30M timeframe, including Trendline Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up, indicating strong short-term momentum.
▲ The WILLR OS Exit suggests the price was oversold and is now bouncing, which often precedes a bullish move.
▲ The SAR Flip Bearish may be a contrarian signal, but combined with other indicators, it could mark a short-term bottom.
▲ Nearest support at 159.17700 is holding, providing a base for the bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid downtrends on 8H, 12H, and 1D, so the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend rally that could quickly fade.
▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down signal is bearish, which may indicate that the bullish momentum is not yet confirmed.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 159.17700, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ The 2H and 4H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to whipsaw movements and false signals.