XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (58.06)
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Signal evolution
Events for XRP/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 22h
- TomorrowUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 22h
- TomorrowUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 22h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Pennant | chart_pattern | 3.46 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.63 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.51 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.39 |
| ▼ | Triple Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.02 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.01 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.23 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.13 |
| ▼ | Evening Star | candlestick | 1.01 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.90 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.87 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish patterns and momentum indicators align on the 4H chart, signaling a strong sell setup.
- Trend is bearish across most timeframes, with solid trend scores on 2H through 12H, supporting downside continuation.
- Watch the 0.99150 support; a break below could accelerate selling, while a bounce might lead to consolidation.
- Resistance at 1.04880 is the key invalidation level; reclaiming it would weaken the bearish case.
The XRP/USDT 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish patterns and indicators, including Double Bottom Retreat Down, Triple Bottom Retreat Down, and a Bear Pennant, alongside multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) crossing below zero or signaling downward crossovers. This confluence points to a strong bearish continuation scenario on the 4H timeframe, with the signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflecting the alignment of these independent technical tools. The trend across timeframes is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 2H through 12H charts, while the 15m and 30m are also bearish but still forming. The 1H and 1D are choppy/sideways, which could introduce some noise, but the overall bias is clearly to the downside.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.04880 and the nearest support at 0.99150. A break below the support would likely confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the setup. Given the strength of the signal and the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum fading or a reversal at support.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.04880 and the nearest support at 0.99150. A break below the support would likely confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the setup. Given the strength of the signal and the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum fading or a reversal at support.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of Double Bottom Retreat Down and Triple Bottom Retreat Down patterns, both indicating failed bullish reversals.
- ▼ Bear Pennant pattern suggests a continuation of the prior downtrend.
- ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing below zero or signaling downward crossovers, confirming bearish momentum.
- ▼ Strong trend scores (3/5) across 2H to 12H timeframes indicate solid bearish alignment.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 1H and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound price action.
- ▲ A move back above the 1.04880 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger short covering.
- ▲ Momentum oscillators are already oversold, increasing the risk of a technical rebound or consolidation.
- ▲ The support at 0.99150 may act as a strong floor, especially if it aligns with historical demand zones.
Symbol
XRP/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 08:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.04880 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 1.09330 | 2026-08-02 |
| R3 | 1.09500 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.99150 | 2026-08-11 |
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