AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY
84%
▲ Bullish 84% (36.61)
▼ Bearish 16% (7.01)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
- August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
- August 18, 2026AUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 3 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.45 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 2.42 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.23 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.14 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.79 |
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 1.71 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.14 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish reversal signals on 2H, but higher timeframes are bearish.
- Watch for a break above 112.74900 resistance to confirm upside.
- Support at 112.13400 is key; losing it invalidates the bullish case.
- Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS) are turning up, supporting a bounce.
The 2H AUD/JPY signal fires a BUY with 83% probability and strong strength, driven by a cluster of bullish triggers: a Trendline Break Down followed by a Trendline Retreat Up, a Double Top pattern with a retreat up, a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, and EMA 200 Retreat Up. These signals suggest that after a downward move, price has reversed off key levels, with momentum indicators turning upward and price reclaiming the middle Bollinger Band and the 200 EMA on the 2H chart. The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and indicator signals points to a potential bullish reversal within the 2H timeframe.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1D showing a solid downtrend (3/5) and most intraday timeframes bearish. The bullish signals are counter-trend on the higher timeframes, which increases the risk of a bounce that fades. The nearest resistance at 112.74900 is a key hurdle; a break above could confirm the reversal, while the nearest support at 112.13400 is critical to hold. The signal's strength suggests short-term momentum, but traders should watch for confirmation on higher timeframes.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1D showing a solid downtrend (3/5) and most intraday timeframes bearish. The bullish signals are counter-trend on the higher timeframes, which increases the risk of a bounce that fades. The nearest resistance at 112.74900 is a key hurdle; a break above could confirm the reversal, while the nearest support at 112.13400 is critical to hold. The signal's strength suggests short-term momentum, but traders should watch for confirmation on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals converge: trendline break and retreat, double top retreat, and indicator crosses.
- ▲ Price holding above the 200 EMA and middle Bollinger Band on 2H.
- ▲ Strong signal strength (83%) and strong momentum scores.
- ▲ Retreat up patterns suggest buyers stepping in after a breakout.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, especially 1D solid downtrend.
- ▼ Resistance at 112.74900 is nearby and may cap upside.
- ▼ Counter-trend bounce could fade if higher timeframes continue to dominate.
- ▼ If price breaks below 112.13400 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
84%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 06:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.74900 | 2026-08-12 |
| R2 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 112.13400 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |
| S3 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |
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