AUD/JPY 2H BUY

· 50 minutes ago
BUY
84%
▲ BUY
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 40% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 84% (36.61) ▼ Bearish 16% (7.01)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
  • August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
  • August 18, 2026AUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Support Level Retreat Up sr 2.45
Double Top chart_pattern 2.42
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.40
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.35
EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.24
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.23
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 2.14
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 2.14
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 2.13
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.10
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.09
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.79
Double Top Retreat Up chart_pattern 1.71
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.14

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish reversal signals on 2H, but higher timeframes are bearish.
  • Watch for a break above 112.74900 resistance to confirm upside.
  • Support at 112.13400 is key; losing it invalidates the bullish case.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS) are turning up, supporting a bounce.
The 2H AUD/JPY signal fires a BUY with 83% probability and strong strength, driven by a cluster of bullish triggers: a Trendline Break Down followed by a Trendline Retreat Up, a Double Top pattern with a retreat up, a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, and EMA 200 Retreat Up. These signals suggest that after a downward move, price has reversed off key levels, with momentum indicators turning upward and price reclaiming the middle Bollinger Band and the 200 EMA on the 2H chart. The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and indicator signals points to a potential bullish reversal within the 2H timeframe.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1D showing a solid downtrend (3/5) and most intraday timeframes bearish. The bullish signals are counter-trend on the higher timeframes, which increases the risk of a bounce that fades. The nearest resistance at 112.74900 is a key hurdle; a break above could confirm the reversal, while the nearest support at 112.13400 is critical to hold. The signal's strength suggests short-term momentum, but traders should watch for confirmation on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bullish signals converge: trendline break and retreat, double top retreat, and indicator crosses.
  • Price holding above the 200 EMA and middle Bollinger Band on 2H.
  • Strong signal strength (83%) and strong momentum scores.
  • Retreat up patterns suggest buyers stepping in after a breakout.
Risk Factors
  • Overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, especially 1D solid downtrend.
  • Resistance at 112.74900 is nearby and may cap upside.
  • Counter-trend bounce could fade if higher timeframes continue to dominate.
  • If price breaks below 112.13400 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 84%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-14 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.74900 2026-08-12
R2 114.65800 2026-07-27
S1 112.13400 2026-08-12
S2 110.76500 2026-08-07
S3 109.23100 2026-08-03

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