AUD/USD 2H SELL

· 11 days ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +56%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (22.14)
AUD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.84
MACD Zero Cross Down indicator 1.75
DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.63
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.55
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.46
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.38
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.30
Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.15

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 2H with multiple indicators aligned.
  • Fibonacci retreat at 79% suggests a potential reversal point.
  • Higher timeframes are bullish, creating a conflict with the 2H signal.
  • Key levels to watch: support at 0.70435 and resistance at 0.70908.
The 2H chart for AUD/USD has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at the 79% level. This confluence of momentum and trend indicators points to a decisive shift toward selling pressure on the 2H timeframe, with the price retreating from a key Fibonacci retracement level. The bearish alignment is further supported by the 15m and 30m timeframes also showing bearish momentum, though they are choppy/sideways.

However, the higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, with the 4H and above showing trend-forming characteristics. This creates a conflict between the immediate bearish momentum on the 2H and the longer-term bullish trend. The price is currently between nearest support at 0.70435 and resistance at 0.70908. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could signal a continuation of the broader uptrend. Traders should watch these levels closely for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Multiple indicators (CMO, DI, DM, MACD, RSI, STOCH, BBANDS) all crossing down on the 2H.
  • Fibonacci retreat at 79% adds confluence to the bearish signal.
  • 15m and 30m timeframes also bearish, supporting the immediate downside momentum.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
  • The 2H signal may be a pullback within a larger uptrend, not a reversal.
  • A break above resistance at 0.70908 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes could lead to false signals.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-14 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70908 2026-08-12
S1 0.70435 2026-08-13
S2 0.70397 2026-08-11
S3 0.70220 2026-08-07

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