EUR/JPY 2H BUY

· 50 minutes ago
BUY
98%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 98% (48.32) ▼ Bearish 2% (1.05)
EUR/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayEUREmployment Change YoY (Q2)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2h
  • TodayEURGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0%in 2h
  • TodayEURGDP Growth Rate YoY (Q2)●●●Forecast 1%Previous 0.5%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Symmetrical Triangle chart_pattern 2.63
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.40
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) fibonacci 2.23
SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.13
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 2.10
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.03
STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 2.03
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.03
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.99
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.99
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.88
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.82
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.81
WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.05
Southern Doji candlestick 1.03

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A bullish breakout on the 2H chart, with multiple confirmations from trendlines, patterns, and indicators.
  • The signal is strong (97% probability) but conflicts with the bearish trend on higher timeframes.
  • Key levels: resistance at 183.961, support at 183.151. Watch for a break above resistance to confirm.
  • Momentum indicators (STOCHRSI, WILLR, BOP) align with the bullish move, but the overall trend is still down.
The EUR/JPY 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish triggers, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, and a Symmetrical Triangle breakout, alongside momentum confirmations from STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and a BOP Zero Cross Up. These signals collectively suggest that buyers are stepping in after a period of consolidation, with the breakout from the triangle and the trendline break pointing to a potential upside move. The EMA Retreat Up and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up add confluence, indicating that price is pulling back to key moving averages and higher-timeframe trendlines, which could serve as launchpads for the bullish continuation.

However, the trend across timeframes remains predominantly bearish, with all timeframes from 15m to 1D showing bearish bias, though the 12H shows a solid downtrend (3/5). This creates a conflict: the 2H signal is bullish, but the higher timeframes are bearish, suggesting that this could be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 183.961 and support at 183.151 are critical levels to watch. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Traders should be cautious, as the signal's high probability (97%) may be tempered by the bearish higher-timeframe context.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bullish signals firing together (trendline break, triangle breakout, EMA retreat) provide strong confluence.
  • The Symmetrical Triangle breakout often leads to sustained moves when accompanied by volume and momentum.
  • The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and WILLR OB Entry indicate increasing bullish momentum and buying pressure.
  • The trendline retreats suggest that price is respecting key support levels, which could fuel the upside.
Risk Factors
  • The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, so this could be a counter-trend rally that fades.
  • A break below the nearest support at 183.151 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • The 15m and 30m timeframes are choppy and bearish, suggesting weak short-term momentum.
  • The high probability (97%) may be overconfident given the conflicting trend alignment; watch for false breakouts.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-14 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 183.96100 2026-08-12
R2 187.46700 2026-07-29
S1 183.15100 2026-08-12
S2 181.31200 2026-08-07
S3 179.36400 2026-08-03

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