NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

2026-08-14 05:00 UTC · 59 minutes ago

BUY

92%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

▲ Bullish 92% (29.00) ▼ Bearish 8% (2.42)

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 8h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 8h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%)	fibonacci	2.34
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.85
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.72
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.61
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.61
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.14
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 1H chart with multiple indicators aligning.
Mixed longer-term trends: daily is strongly bullish, but 12H is bearish—watch for conflict.
Key resistance at 0.58850; a break above could open further upside.
Key support at 0.58210; a break below would invalidate the bullish signal.

The 1H NZD/USD signal is strongly bullish (92% probability, very strong) with a cluster of indicators confirming buying pressure. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying power, while the STOCHRSI and STOCH KD crosses suggest momentum is turning upward. The WILLR OB Entry points to overbought conditions, but combined with the EMA, DEMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA retreats up, it reflects a strong upward push. Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add confluence.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish. The 15m, 30m, and 1h trends are bullish, though choppy, while the 4h and 1d are also bullish, with the daily showing a very strong trend (4/5). However, the 2h, 8h, and 12h trends are bearish, with the 12h having a solid downtrend (3/5). This suggests the bullish signal is part of a larger correction or a shift in momentum. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.58850 and support at 0.58210. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish move, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ High signal probability (92%) and very strong strength.
▲ Multiple indicator confluence: BOP, STOCHRSI, EMA, DEMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA all retreating up.
▲ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add to the bullish case.
▲ Daily trend is strongly bullish (4/5), supporting the longer-term bias.

Risk Factors

▼ Bearish trends on 2H, 8H, and 12H timeframes could weigh on the pair.
▼ Overbought conditions (WILLR OB Entry) may lead to a pullback.
▼ Choppy/sideways trends on several timeframes suggest indecision.
▼ Watch the nearest support at 0.58210; a break below would invalidate the signal.