USD/CAD 2H SELL

· 15 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (102.66)
USD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • August 17, 2026CADCPI Median YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 1.8%Previous 1.9%in 2 days
  • August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 2 days
  • August 17, 2026CADCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2%Previous 2.1%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 3.09
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.90
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.60
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.41
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.41
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.37
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.36
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 2.12
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.78
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.77
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.62
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.49
MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.23
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.06

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: multiple signals across indicators, trendlines, and patterns all point down.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on 4H, 8H, and 1D.
  • Key resistance at 1.40374; a break below support at 1.39078 could open further downside.
  • Choppy price action on lower timeframes may cause pullbacks, but the overall bias remains bearish.
The USD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and MAMA Cross Down, among others. This confluence across candlestick, fibonacci, indicator, and trendline groups suggests strong selling pressure. The trend is bearish across all higher timeframes (30m through 1d), with solid trend scores on the 4H, 8H, and 1D, while the 2H itself shows a choppy but bearish bias. The alignment of multiple momentum oscillators and trendline breaks points to a continuation of the downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.40374 and support at 1.39078. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The very strong probability (91%) and the sheer number of signals increase confidence, but the choppy nature of the lower timeframes (15m to 2H) suggests the move may not be smooth. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment: bearish on all timeframes from 30m to 1D, with solid trend scores on 4H, 8H, and 1D.
  • Multiple momentum oscillators (MACD, STOCH, BOP) all crossing down simultaneously.
  • Trendline breaks on both the 2H and higher timeframe (HT TRENDLINE) confirm the bearish structure.
  • High probability (91%) and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes (15m to 2H) could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
  • A break and close above the nearest resistance at 1.40374 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • If the 1D trend score weakens or flips, the higher timeframe support for the move could fade.
  • Watch for momentum divergence: if price makes new lows but oscillators fail to confirm, the downtrend may be losing steam.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40374 2026-08-06
R2 1.40799 2026-08-04
R3 1.41286 2026-07-28
S1 1.39078 2026-08-12

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