USD/CAD – 2H – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (102.66)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CAD
Full calendar- August 17, 2026CADCPI Median YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 1.8%Previous 1.9%in 2 days
- August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 2 days
- August 17, 2026CADCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2%Previous 2.1%in 2 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 3.09 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.90 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.60 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | MAMA Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.06 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: multiple signals across indicators, trendlines, and patterns all point down.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on 4H, 8H, and 1D.
- Key resistance at 1.40374; a break below support at 1.39078 could open further downside.
- Choppy price action on lower timeframes may cause pullbacks, but the overall bias remains bearish.
The USD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and MAMA Cross Down, among others. This confluence across candlestick, fibonacci, indicator, and trendline groups suggests strong selling pressure. The trend is bearish across all higher timeframes (30m through 1d), with solid trend scores on the 4H, 8H, and 1D, while the 2H itself shows a choppy but bearish bias. The alignment of multiple momentum oscillators and trendline breaks points to a continuation of the downtrend.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.40374 and support at 1.39078. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The very strong probability (91%) and the sheer number of signals increase confidence, but the choppy nature of the lower timeframes (15m to 2H) suggests the move may not be smooth. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.40374 and support at 1.39078. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The very strong probability (91%) and the sheer number of signals increase confidence, but the choppy nature of the lower timeframes (15m to 2H) suggests the move may not be smooth. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment: bearish on all timeframes from 30m to 1D, with solid trend scores on 4H, 8H, and 1D.
- ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (MACD, STOCH, BOP) all crossing down simultaneously.
- ▼ Trendline breaks on both the 2H and higher timeframe (HT TRENDLINE) confirm the bearish structure.
- ▼ High probability (91%) and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes (15m to 2H) could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
- ▲ A break and close above the nearest resistance at 1.40374 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ If the 1D trend score weakens or flips, the higher timeframe support for the move could fade.
- ▲ Watch for momentum divergence: if price makes new lows but oscillators fail to confirm, the downtrend may be losing steam.
Symbol
USD/CAD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 22:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.40374 | 2026-08-06 |
| R2 | 1.40799 | 2026-08-04 |
| R3 | 1.41286 | 2026-07-28 |
| S1 | 1.39078 | 2026-08-12 |
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