XRP/USDT – 4H – BUY
BUY
68%
▲ Bullish 68% (14.16)
▼ Bearish 32% (6.81)
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Signal evolution
Events for XRP/USDT
Full calendar- TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 7h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 7h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 7h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Triple Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.20 |
| ▲ | Double Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.16 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.39 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.88 |
| ▲ | Inverted Hammer | candlestick | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish reversal signals on 4H, but higher timeframes still bearish.
- Watch for a break above 1.04880 to confirm upside momentum.
- Invalidation level is 0.99150; a close below negates the setup.
- Expect a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal until higher TFs turn bullish.
The 4H chart for XRP/USDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Double Bottom and Triple Bottom pattern, alongside AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend, which typically indicate a potential reversal from a downtrend. The BOP Zero Cross Up and DEMA Retreat Up add momentum confirmation, suggesting buying pressure is emerging. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) remains bearish and solid, while lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish but choppy. This mixed alignment suggests the bullish signals may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, and traders should watch for confirmation above the nearest resistance at 1.04880.
The confluence of multiple bottom patterns and momentum shifts increases the probability of a short-term rally, but the bearish higher timeframe trend poses a significant risk. Key levels to monitor: a break above 1.04880 could open the door for further upside, while a drop below the nearest support at 0.99150 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend. Given the moderate strength and 67% probability, this signal is best treated as a tactical long with tight risk management, awaiting confirmation from higher timeframe trend reversal.
The confluence of multiple bottom patterns and momentum shifts increases the probability of a short-term rally, but the bearish higher timeframe trend poses a significant risk. Key levels to monitor: a break above 1.04880 could open the door for further upside, while a drop below the nearest support at 0.99150 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend. Given the moderate strength and 67% probability, this signal is best treated as a tactical long with tight risk management, awaiting confirmation from higher timeframe trend reversal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bottom patterns (Double Bottom, Triple Bottom) indicate strong support and potential reversal.
- ▲ AROON Cross Down and Strong Downtrend suggest the downtrend is losing steam.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and DEMA Retreat Up show increasing buying pressure.
- ▲ Fibonacci confluence may provide additional support near current levels.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe trend (2H-12H) is bearish and solid, which could overpower the 4H bullish signals.
- ▼ Lower timeframe bullishness is choppy and weak (1/5), lacking conviction.
- ▼ Failure to break above 1.04880 could lead to a pullback.
- ▼ A drop below 0.99150 would invalidate the pattern and signal further downside.
Symbol
XRP/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
68%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-14 00:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.04880 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 1.09330 | 2026-08-02 |
| R3 | 1.09500 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.99150 | 2026-08-11 |
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