XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL
85%
▲ Bullish 15% (5.78)
▼ Bearish 85% (33.33)
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Signal evolution
Events for XRP/USDT
Full calendar- August 19, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 3 days
- August 19, 2026USDFOMC Minutes●●●in 3 days
- August 20, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims (Aug/15)●●●Forecast 201in 3 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Pennant | chart_pattern | 2.88 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.69 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.20 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 1.52 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.06 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals are stacked on the 4H: trendline break, bear pennant, and BOP zero cross down.
- Higher timeframes (4H-12H) all show solid bearish trends, aligning with the sell signal.
- Immediate resistance at 1.04880; a break below 0.99150 support would likely extend downside.
- Momentum crossovers turned up but failed to lift price, hinting at a weak bounce within a downtrend.
The 4H XRP/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, a Bear Pennant, and a BOP Zero Cross Down, alongside multiple momentum crossovers (MOM, ROC, ROCR) that turned up but failed to lift price, suggesting a corrective bounce within a broader downtrend. The STOCHF KD Cross Down adds short-term bearish pressure. Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H showing solid trend scores (3/5), while lower timeframes are choppy but still tilted down—indicating the sell signal is well-supported by higher timeframe structure.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.04880, which aligns with the broken trendline and the pennant's lower boundary, and support at 0.99150. A sustained break below support would confirm continuation of the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The confluence of pattern, trendline, and indicator signals across multiple groups (chart_pattern, candlestick, trendline, fibonacci, indicator) strengthens the bearish case, but traders should monitor momentum for signs of exhaustion given the upward crossovers in MOM and ROC.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.04880, which aligns with the broken trendline and the pennant's lower boundary, and support at 0.99150. A sustained break below support would confirm continuation of the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The confluence of pattern, trendline, and indicator signals across multiple groups (chart_pattern, candlestick, trendline, fibonacci, indicator) strengthens the bearish case, but traders should monitor momentum for signs of exhaustion given the upward crossovers in MOM and ROC.
Catalysts
- ▼ Uniform bearish trend across 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes (solid trend scores).
- ▼ Multiple signal groups converge: chart pattern, trendline, candlestick, fibonacci, and indicators.
- ▼ Bear Pennant pattern suggests continuation of the prior downtrend.
- ▼ Trendline Break Down and BOP Zero Cross Down confirm selling pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) show upward crossovers, which could indicate a short-term bounce that stalls the decline.
- ▲ Lower timeframes (30m, 1h) are choppy/sideways, reducing conviction in the immediate move.
- ▲ A break and hold above 1.04880 (resistance) would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ If price holds support at 0.99150 and forms a higher low, the bearish signal could weaken.
Symbol
XRP/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
85%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-16 08:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.04880 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 1.09330 | 2026-08-02 |
| R3 | 1.09500 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.99150 | 2026-08-11 |