AUD/JPY – 1D – SELL
SELL
78%
▲ Bullish 22% (3.54)
▼ Bearish 78% (12.31)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 10h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 10h
- TomorrowAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 12h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 3.02 |
| ▼ | SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▲ | ULTOSC OB Exit | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.87 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.87 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on AUD/JPY daily chart with multiple confirmations.
- Key support at 109.23100 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 114.65800 is the level to watch for invalidation.
- Lower timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes are still bullish, so the trend is not fully aligned.
- The Death Cross and Bear Flag suggest a continuation of the downtrend, but watch for potential bounces from higher timeframe support.
The AUD/JPY daily chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Bear Flag pattern, a Death Cross (SMA 20/50), a BOP Zero Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at the 24% level. These indicators collectively point to a strong bearish bias, with the pair likely to continue its descent toward the nearest support at 109.23100, while the nearest resistance sits at 114.65800. The alignment of these signals across different indicator groups (chart pattern, Fibonacci, and momentum) enhances the conviction behind the bearish outlook.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish on the lower timeframes (15m to 2h), with solid trend scores, while the higher timeframes (4h to 12h) still show bullish tendencies, creating a mixed picture. However, the daily timeframe itself is turning bearish, which is significant as it is the primary timeframe for this signal. The bearish momentum on the lower timeframes and the daily Death Cross suggest that the pair is likely to follow through with the bearish move, but the conflicting bullish higher timeframes could provide temporary support or cause a bounce. Traders should watch the key levels closely, as a break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish on the lower timeframes (15m to 2h), with solid trend scores, while the higher timeframes (4h to 12h) still show bullish tendencies, creating a mixed picture. However, the daily timeframe itself is turning bearish, which is significant as it is the primary timeframe for this signal. The bearish momentum on the lower timeframes and the daily Death Cross suggest that the pair is likely to follow through with the bearish move, but the conflicting bullish higher timeframes could provide temporary support or cause a bounce. Traders should watch the key levels closely, as a break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals firing together (Bear Flag, Death Cross, BOP Zero Cross Down) provide strong confluence.
- ▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24% indicates that the pair has broken a key retracement level, supporting further downside.
- ▼ Solid bearish trend scores on lower timeframes (15m to 2h) confirm short-term momentum.
- ▼ The daily timeframe is turning bearish, aligning with the lower timeframe trend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4h to 12h) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or a reversal.
- ▲ The nearest support at 109.23100 is a significant level; if it holds, the bearish move may stall.
- ▲ The signal is on the 1D timeframe, but the trend is only 'forming' (2/5) on that timeframe, indicating that the bearish trend is not fully established.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 114.65800 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1D
Direction
SELL
Probability
78%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| R2 | 114.90900 | 2026-06-02 |
| S1 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |
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