AUD/JPY 1D SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
78%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Position
⚡ Confluence +13%
▲ Bullish 22% (3.54) ▼ Bearish 78% (12.31)
AUD/JPY  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 10h
  • TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 10h
  • TomorrowAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 12h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 3.02
SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.23
ULTOSC OB Exit indicator 2.09
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.87
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on AUD/JPY daily chart with multiple confirmations.
  • Key support at 109.23100 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 114.65800 is the level to watch for invalidation.
  • Lower timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes are still bullish, so the trend is not fully aligned.
  • The Death Cross and Bear Flag suggest a continuation of the downtrend, but watch for potential bounces from higher timeframe support.
The AUD/JPY daily chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Bear Flag pattern, a Death Cross (SMA 20/50), a BOP Zero Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at the 24% level. These indicators collectively point to a strong bearish bias, with the pair likely to continue its descent toward the nearest support at 109.23100, while the nearest resistance sits at 114.65800. The alignment of these signals across different indicator groups (chart pattern, Fibonacci, and momentum) enhances the conviction behind the bearish outlook.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish on the lower timeframes (15m to 2h), with solid trend scores, while the higher timeframes (4h to 12h) still show bullish tendencies, creating a mixed picture. However, the daily timeframe itself is turning bearish, which is significant as it is the primary timeframe for this signal. The bearish momentum on the lower timeframes and the daily Death Cross suggest that the pair is likely to follow through with the bearish move, but the conflicting bullish higher timeframes could provide temporary support or cause a bounce. Traders should watch the key levels closely, as a break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bearish signals firing together (Bear Flag, Death Cross, BOP Zero Cross Down) provide strong confluence.
  • Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24% indicates that the pair has broken a key retracement level, supporting further downside.
  • Solid bearish trend scores on lower timeframes (15m to 2h) confirm short-term momentum.
  • The daily timeframe is turning bearish, aligning with the lower timeframe trend.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4h to 12h) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or a reversal.
  • The nearest support at 109.23100 is a significant level; if it holds, the bearish move may stall.
  • The signal is on the 1D timeframe, but the trend is only 'forming' (2/5) on that timeframe, indicating that the bearish trend is not fully established.
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 114.65800 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Probability 78%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.65800 2026-07-27
R2 114.90900 2026-06-02
S1 109.23100 2026-08-03

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