AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY
66%
▲ Bullish 66% (23.22)
▼ Bearish 34% (11.75)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayAUDRBA Hauser Speech●●○in 16m
- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 20h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 20h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 3.26 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.78 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The signal is bullish but weak, with a 60% probability and mixed signals.
- Support at 113.15700 is the key level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish case.
- Trends are forming bullish on most intraday timeframes, but the daily trend is bearish, creating a conflict.
- The Gapping Down Doji and retreat from overbought conditions suggest the move may be uncertain.
The AUD/JPY 1H signal is a BUY, but with a weak strength (60% probability) and a mix of signals that require careful interpretation. The trendline break up and trendline break down signals suggest a potential shift in the short-term structure, while the WILLR OB Exit and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicate that the price has pulled back from overbought conditions, possibly setting up for a continuation or a reversal. The Gapping Down Doji adds a note of indecision, hinting that the market may be pausing after a gap. Overall, the signals lean bullish, but the conflicting trendline breaks and the doji suggest the move may lack conviction.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish and forming on most intraday charts (15m through 12h), but the daily trend is bearish, which creates a conflicting higher timeframe. The nearest support is at 113.15700, which is a key level to watch. If the price holds above this support, the bullish bias could gain traction, but a break below it would invalidate the signal. The weak trend scores (2/5) across timeframes indicate that the trend is not well established, so traders should be cautious about expecting a strong move.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish and forming on most intraday charts (15m through 12h), but the daily trend is bearish, which creates a conflicting higher timeframe. The nearest support is at 113.15700, which is a key level to watch. If the price holds above this support, the bullish bias could gain traction, but a break below it would invalidate the signal. The weak trend scores (2/5) across timeframes indicate that the trend is not well established, so traders should be cautious about expecting a strong move.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trend alignment across most intraday timeframes (15m to 12h) supports a bullish bias.
- ▲ The WILLR OB Exit and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down suggest a pullback from overbought, which can be a precursor to a resumption of the uptrend.
- ▲ The trendline break up signal indicates a potential bullish breakout from a prior trendline.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The daily trend is bearish, which could overpower the intraday bullish momentum.
- ▼ The trendline break down signal and Gapping Down Doji add bearish or indecisive elements.
- ▼ Weak trend scores (2/5) across timeframes indicate the trend is not strong.
- ▼ A break below the support at 113.15700 would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
66%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-18 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 113.15700 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 112.74200 | 2026-08-17 |
| S3 | 112.41900 | 2026-08-14 |
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