AUD/JPY 1H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
66%
▲ BUY
MODERATE
Intraday
Prognose: 28% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 66% (23.22) ▼ Bearish 34% (11.75)
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayAUDRBA Hauser Speech●●○in 16m
  • TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 20h
  • TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 20h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 3.26
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.07
Trendline Break Down trendline 1.78
BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.24
Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The signal is bullish but weak, with a 60% probability and mixed signals.
  • Support at 113.15700 is the key level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish case.
  • Trends are forming bullish on most intraday timeframes, but the daily trend is bearish, creating a conflict.
  • The Gapping Down Doji and retreat from overbought conditions suggest the move may be uncertain.
The AUD/JPY 1H signal is a BUY, but with a weak strength (60% probability) and a mix of signals that require careful interpretation. The trendline break up and trendline break down signals suggest a potential shift in the short-term structure, while the WILLR OB Exit and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicate that the price has pulled back from overbought conditions, possibly setting up for a continuation or a reversal. The Gapping Down Doji adds a note of indecision, hinting that the market may be pausing after a gap. Overall, the signals lean bullish, but the conflicting trendline breaks and the doji suggest the move may lack conviction.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish and forming on most intraday charts (15m through 12h), but the daily trend is bearish, which creates a conflicting higher timeframe. The nearest support is at 113.15700, which is a key level to watch. If the price holds above this support, the bullish bias could gain traction, but a break below it would invalidate the signal. The weak trend scores (2/5) across timeframes indicate that the trend is not well established, so traders should be cautious about expecting a strong move.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across most intraday timeframes (15m to 12h) supports a bullish bias.
  • The WILLR OB Exit and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down suggest a pullback from overbought, which can be a precursor to a resumption of the uptrend.
  • The trendline break up signal indicates a potential bullish breakout from a prior trendline.
Risk Factors
  • The daily trend is bearish, which could overpower the intraday bullish momentum.
  • The trendline break down signal and Gapping Down Doji add bearish or indecisive elements.
  • Weak trend scores (2/5) across timeframes indicate the trend is not strong.
  • A break below the support at 113.15700 would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 66%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-08-18 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 113.15700 2026-08-18
S2 112.74200 2026-08-17
S3 112.41900 2026-08-14

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