AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-18 17:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

92%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 8% (3.66) ▼ Bearish 92% (42.93)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 19h
23:50TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 19h
01:30TomorrowAUDFull Time Employment Chg (Jul)●●○Previous 29.3in 21h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Rising Wedge	chart_pattern	2.65
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.33
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.19
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.10
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.55
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.51
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.48
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.37
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.29
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.01
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, including a Rising Wedge and multiple momentum crosses, suggests a strong short-term sell opportunity.
The signal is counter to the bullish trend on the 1h to 12h timeframes, so treat this as a likely pullback unless support at 113.15700 is broken.
Watch the nearest resistance at 113.47800; a move back above that level would negate the bearish setup.
The high probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction, but always manage risk accordingly.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, Rising Wedge, and multiple zero-line crosses on the CCI and CMO, alongside DI and DM crosses down. This confluence of chart pattern, trendline, and momentum indicators points to a strong short-term bearish reversal from the recent upswing. The trend score is very strong at 96%, suggesting high conviction in the move.

However, the broader timeframes present a mixed picture. While the 15m and 30m trends are bearish, the 1h through 12h timeframes are all bullish, and the daily is bearish. This means the bearish signal is counter to the intermediate-term uptrend, so it may be a pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 113.47800 and support at 113.15700; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trendline breaks (Retreat and Break Down) confirm bearish momentum.
▼ A Rising Wedge pattern typically resolves downward, aligning with the bearish signal.
▼ CCI and CMO zero-line crosses down, along with DI and DM crosses down, reinforce the bearish momentum.
▼ The overall trend score is very strong, indicating high alignment among the indicators.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend on the 1h to 12h timeframes could limit downside and cause a bounce.
▲ The nearest support at 113.15700 may hold, leading to a reversal back up.
▲ The daily timeframe is bearish, but the intermediate bullish bias could dominate.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 113.47800, the bearish signal is invalidated.