AUD/USD – 30M – BUY
BUY
96%
▲ Bullish 96% (33.64)
▼ Bearish 4% (1.45)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/14)●●○in 3h
- TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 7h
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All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.20 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.02 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.95 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | ULTOSC OS Exit | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | Southern Doji | candlestick | 1.25 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami Cross | candlestick | 1.09 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence: multiple indicators and price action signals align for a buy on the 30-minute chart.
- Key support at 0.70770 must hold; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
- Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bullish, supporting the long direction, but the 1H and 1D are choppy.
- Watch for a break above resistance at 0.71132 to confirm continuation.
The AUD/USD signal on the 30-minute chart is strongly bullish, backed by a confluence of indicators and price action. The Trendline Retreat Up and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Up signals indicate that price has pulled back to key moving averages and trendlines and is now bouncing higher, suggesting that buyers are stepping in at these dynamic support levels. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up confirm improving buying pressure and momentum, while the ULTOSC OS Exit shows that the oscillator is leaving oversold territory, hinting at a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) suggests that price has broken above a retracement level, adding to the bullish case.
However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bearish (2/5), while the 1-hour is choppy (1/5). In contrast, the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes all show bullish trends (3/5), indicating that the larger trend is supportive. The 1-day is choppy (1/5), which could limit the upside. The immediate resistance is at 0.71132, with support at 0.70770. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, but if price fails to hold above support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bearish (2/5), while the 1-hour is choppy (1/5). In contrast, the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes all show bullish trends (3/5), indicating that the larger trend is supportive. The 1-day is choppy (1/5), which could limit the upside. The immediate resistance is at 0.71132, with support at 0.70770. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, but if price fails to hold above support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trendline Retreat Up and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Up show price bouncing off key dynamic support.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up confirm improving momentum and buying pressure.
- ▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicates the oscillator is leaving oversold, signaling a potential upward move.
- ▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) adds confluence, suggesting a breakout above a retracement level.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish (2/5), and the 1-hour is choppy, which could lead to false signals.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.70770, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
- ▼ The 1-day timeframe is choppy, so the larger trend may not provide strong follow-through.
- ▼ Fading momentum could occur if the oscillator crosses back down, especially if price fails to break resistance.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 19:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.71132 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 0.71290 | 2026-08-17 |
| S1 | 0.70770 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 0.70518 | 2026-08-14 |
| S3 | 0.70435 | 2026-08-13 |
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