EUR/AUD 2H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
97%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.68) ▼ Bearish 97% (60.22)
EUR/AUD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TodayAUDRBA Hauser Speech●●○in 3h
  • TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.1%in 8h
  • TodayEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.4%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.48
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.44
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.37
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.35
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.23
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
Trendline Break Down trendline 1.80
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.70
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.70
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.50
Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment on 2H with multiple confirmations.
  • Key support at 1.62605; a break could accelerate downside.
  • Resistance at 1.63577 is the invalidation level for the short bias.
  • Daily trend is bullish, so watch for counter-trend bounces.
The EUR/AUD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and EMA Retreat Down. The confluence across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups reflects persistent selling pressure, with a very strong 91% probability score. The 2H timeframe shows a solid downtrend (3/5), while the 1H and 4H are forming trends (2/5), indicating momentum is building from shorter to medium timeframes. However, the 15m and 30m are choppy, suggesting near-term pullbacks could occur, and the daily bias remains bullish, which adds a counter-trend risk.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.63577 and support at 1.62605. A break below support could extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis. The alignment of multiple trendline breaks and momentum oscillators supports a continuation lower, but traders should watch for a potential bounce if price approaches the daily bullish zone. Overall, the signal is strong, but the conflicting daily trend warrants caution.
Catalysts
  • Multiple trendline breaks (up, retreat, down) confirm bearish momentum.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down show selling pressure.
  • EMA and KAMA retreats align with the bearish trend.
  • Higher timeframe (1H, 4H) trends are forming in the same direction.
Risk Factors
  • Daily timeframe is bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the trend.
  • Choppy 15m and 30m suggest possible consolidation before continuation.
  • If price breaks above 1.63577, the bearish signal is invalidated.
  • Momentum may fade if price approaches the daily bullish zone.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.63577 2026-08-13
R2 1.63971 2026-08-11
R3 1.64047 2026-08-06
S1 1.62605 2026-08-17

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