EUR/AUD – 2H – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.68)
▼ Bearish 97% (60.22)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TodayAUDRBA Hauser Speech●●○in 3h
- TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.1%in 8h
- TodayEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.4%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.48 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.37 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.35 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.80 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 1.09 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish alignment on 2H with multiple confirmations.
- Key support at 1.62605; a break could accelerate downside.
- Resistance at 1.63577 is the invalidation level for the short bias.
- Daily trend is bullish, so watch for counter-trend bounces.
The EUR/AUD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and EMA Retreat Down. The confluence across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups reflects persistent selling pressure, with a very strong 91% probability score. The 2H timeframe shows a solid downtrend (3/5), while the 1H and 4H are forming trends (2/5), indicating momentum is building from shorter to medium timeframes. However, the 15m and 30m are choppy, suggesting near-term pullbacks could occur, and the daily bias remains bullish, which adds a counter-trend risk.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.63577 and support at 1.62605. A break below support could extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis. The alignment of multiple trendline breaks and momentum oscillators supports a continuation lower, but traders should watch for a potential bounce if price approaches the daily bullish zone. Overall, the signal is strong, but the conflicting daily trend warrants caution.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.63577 and support at 1.62605. A break below support could extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis. The alignment of multiple trendline breaks and momentum oscillators supports a continuation lower, but traders should watch for a potential bounce if price approaches the daily bullish zone. Overall, the signal is strong, but the conflicting daily trend warrants caution.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple trendline breaks (up, retreat, down) confirm bearish momentum.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down show selling pressure.
- ▼ EMA and KAMA retreats align with the bearish trend.
- ▼ Higher timeframe (1H, 4H) trends are forming in the same direction.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Daily timeframe is bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the trend.
- ▲ Choppy 15m and 30m suggest possible consolidation before continuation.
- ▲ If price breaks above 1.63577, the bearish signal is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if price approaches the daily bullish zone.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.63577 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 1.63971 | 2026-08-11 |
| R3 | 1.64047 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 1.62605 | 2026-08-17 |
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