EUR/CAD – 2H – SELL
SELL
80%
▲ Bullish 20% (6.32)
▼ Bearish 80% (25.09)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/CAD
Full calendar- TodayEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.4%in 5h
- TodayEURCPI (Jul)●●○Forecast 103.22Previous 103.02in 5h
- TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.9%Previous 2.8%in 5h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.84 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.80 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.78 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.72 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.69 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.63 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.61 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.58 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.57 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.54 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.52 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 1.21 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 0.85 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 2H timeframe with multiple indicators aligning.
- Higher timeframes support the bearish bias, but lower timeframes show short-term bullish pressure.
- Watch key levels: resistance at 1.60877 and support at 1.60388.
- The signal suggests a continuation of the downtrend, but caution is advised due to choppy conditions.
The EUR/CAD 2H signal is strongly bearish, with a confluence of multiple technical signals aligning to the downside. The trendline break, EMA retreat, KAMA retreat, and MAMA price retreat all point to a continuation of the downtrend. The BOP zero cross down indicates selling pressure, while the BBANDS lower retreat up suggests a pullback within the lower band, which is often a bearish continuation pattern. The high probability (83%) and strong strength underscore the conviction behind this signal.
Across timeframes, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, although mostly in a choppy/sideways phase. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are showing bullish tendencies, which could provide temporary counter-trend rallies, but the overall bias remains bearish. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.60877 and support at 1.60388. A break below support would confirm further downside, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, although mostly in a choppy/sideways phase. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are showing bullish tendencies, which could provide temporary counter-trend rallies, but the overall bias remains bearish. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.60877 and support at 1.60388. A break below support would confirm further downside, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (trendline break, EMA retreat, KAMA retreat, etc.).
- ▼ Higher timeframe trend alignment (2H to 1D) all bearish.
- ▼ BOP zero cross down confirms selling pressure.
- ▼ Strong signal probability and strength scores.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are bullish, which could lead to short-term bounces.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes may cause false signals.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 1.60877 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum may be fading as seen in the retreat patterns, but the overall trend is still down.
Symbol
EUR/CAD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
80%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 14:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.60877 | 2026-08-17 |
| R2 | 1.60949 | 2026-08-13 |
| R3 | 1.62476 | 2026-08-05 |
| S1 | 1.60388 | 2026-08-14 |
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