EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-18 15:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

SELL

86%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 14% (5.70) ▼ Bearish 86% (35.89)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

09:00TodayEURCPI (Jul)●●○Forecast 103.22Previous 103.02in 6h
09:00TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.9%Previous 2.8%in 6h
09:00TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.1%in 6h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.33
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.33
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.15
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.11
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term sell opportunity.
The broader trend is mixed: higher timeframes are mostly bullish, so this could be a counter-trend move.
Watch the 184.43900 support level; a break below it would strengthen the bearish case.
Trend scores are weak across most timeframes, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction.

The 30-minute EUR/JPY chart has generated a confluence of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, and multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero. This suggests a shift in short-term momentum from bullish to bearish. However, the broader trend picture is mixed: while the 15-minute and daily timeframes are bearish, the 30-minute through 8-hour timeframes are still bullish, albeit with weak trend scores. This indicates that the bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure, and its sustainability is questionable.

Key support lies at 184.43900, which aligns with the nearest support level. A break below this level would confirm the bearish momentum and potentially open the door for further downside. Conversely, if the price holds above this support and the bullish higher timeframes reassert themselves, the bearish signal could fade. The moderate strength and 70% probability suggest a tradable opportunity, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting trend alignment across timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, and momentum oscillators crossing below zero.
▼ Bearish alignment on the 15-minute and daily timeframes supports the short-term sell signal.
▼ The presence of a trendline break adds a technical pattern confirmation to the momentum signals.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting higher timeframe trends: the 30-minute through 8-hour timeframes are still bullish, which could limit downside.
▲ Weak trend scores (1/5) on several timeframes indicate a lack of strong momentum, increasing the chance of a false signal.
▲ If the price holds above the 184.43900 support, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
▲ The signal is moderate strength, so the move might be shallow and short-lived.