GBP/JPY 2H BUY

· 14 hours ago
BUY
97%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 97% (83.94) ▼ Bearish 3% (2.34)
GBP/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayGBPInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3%Previous 2.6%in 5h
  • TodayGBPInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.1%in 5h
  • TodayGBPCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Previous 2.6in 5h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Ascending Triangle chart_pattern 3.50
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.87
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 2.79
SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.65
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.60
MA Retreat Up indicator 2.60
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.43
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.40
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.37
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.11
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.96
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.77
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.48
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.15
Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.01
Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 0.96
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.70

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on 2H: trendline retreat, ascending triangle, and EMA retreat all point higher.
  • Oscillator pullbacks (STOCH, WILLR, MACD) are likely healthy within an uptrend, not reversal signals.
  • Resistance at 218.676 is the key upside trigger; support at 214.779 is the invalidation zone.
  • Lower timeframes are bearish/choppy, so wait for confirmation on the 2H chart.
The 2H GBP/JPY chart is firing a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Up and an Ascending Triangle breakout, both confirmed by an EMA Retreat Up and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while oscillator readings (STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Entry) suggest a pullback within an uptrend rather than a reversal, and the MACD Signal Cross Down points to a short-term momentum dip that could resolve higher. The signal's very strong probability (92%) is supported by confluence across multiple groups—trendline, candlestick, indicator, fibonacci, and chart pattern—and by bullish alignment on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, even as lower timeframes (15m-1h) remain bearish and choppy.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 218.676 and support at 214.779. A break above resistance would confirm the ascending triangle's bullish continuation, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The mixed higher timeframe picture (daily bearish) and the current oscillator pullback mean traders should wait for confirmation—either a bounce off support or a close above resistance—before committing. The trend is forming but not yet mature, so patience is advised.
Catalysts
  • Multiple signal groups align: trendline, candlestick, indicator, fibonacci, and chart pattern.
  • Bullish trend alignment across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes supports the move.
  • BOP zero cross up shows increasing buying pressure, and EMA retreat confirms trend momentum.
  • Ascending triangle pattern often resolves upward, adding to the bullish case.
Risk Factors
  • Daily timeframe is bearish, which could weigh on the pair and limit upside.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish and choppy, suggesting near-term weakness.
  • Oscillator crosses (STOCH, WILLR, MACD) are currently down, indicating momentum is fading; if support breaks, the setup fails.
  • Watch the 214.779 support level—a close below it invalidates the bullish signal.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 218.67600 2026-07-30
S1 214.77900 2026-08-13
S2 214.53200 2026-08-12
S3 211.45500 2026-08-07

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