GBP/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY
97%
▲ Bullish 97% (83.94)
▼ Bearish 3% (2.34)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayGBPInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3%Previous 2.6%in 5h
- TodayGBPInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.1%in 5h
- TodayGBPCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Previous 2.6in 5h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.50 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.87 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.79 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.65 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 1.01 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.96 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.70 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence on 2H: trendline retreat, ascending triangle, and EMA retreat all point higher.
- Oscillator pullbacks (STOCH, WILLR, MACD) are likely healthy within an uptrend, not reversal signals.
- Resistance at 218.676 is the key upside trigger; support at 214.779 is the invalidation zone.
- Lower timeframes are bearish/choppy, so wait for confirmation on the 2H chart.
The 2H GBP/JPY chart is firing a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Up and an Ascending Triangle breakout, both confirmed by an EMA Retreat Up and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while oscillator readings (STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Entry) suggest a pullback within an uptrend rather than a reversal, and the MACD Signal Cross Down points to a short-term momentum dip that could resolve higher. The signal's very strong probability (92%) is supported by confluence across multiple groups—trendline, candlestick, indicator, fibonacci, and chart pattern—and by bullish alignment on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, even as lower timeframes (15m-1h) remain bearish and choppy.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 218.676 and support at 214.779. A break above resistance would confirm the ascending triangle's bullish continuation, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The mixed higher timeframe picture (daily bearish) and the current oscillator pullback mean traders should wait for confirmation—either a bounce off support or a close above resistance—before committing. The trend is forming but not yet mature, so patience is advised.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 218.676 and support at 214.779. A break above resistance would confirm the ascending triangle's bullish continuation, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The mixed higher timeframe picture (daily bearish) and the current oscillator pullback mean traders should wait for confirmation—either a bounce off support or a close above resistance—before committing. The trend is forming but not yet mature, so patience is advised.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple signal groups align: trendline, candlestick, indicator, fibonacci, and chart pattern.
- ▲ Bullish trend alignment across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes supports the move.
- ▲ BOP zero cross up shows increasing buying pressure, and EMA retreat confirms trend momentum.
- ▲ Ascending triangle pattern often resolves upward, adding to the bullish case.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Daily timeframe is bearish, which could weigh on the pair and limit upside.
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish and choppy, suggesting near-term weakness.
- ▼ Oscillator crosses (STOCH, WILLR, MACD) are currently down, indicating momentum is fading; if support breaks, the setup fails.
- ▼ Watch the 214.779 support level—a close below it invalidates the bullish signal.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 218.67600 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 214.77900 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 214.53200 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |
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