GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
99%
▲ Bullish 1% (1.04)
▼ Bearish 99% (88.23)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 14h
- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 14h
- TomorrowGBPCBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug)●●○Previous -45in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.72 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.54 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 2.11 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.01 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.92 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart point to a strong short-term selloff.
- Higher timeframes (1H-12H) are still bullish, so this could be a pullback within an uptrend.
- Watch the nearest support at 215.91500; a break below could accelerate losses.
- The nearest resistance at 216.21400 is the key level to watch for invalidation.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down and a Trendline Break Down, alongside momentum oscillators like the STOCHF KD Cross Down and WILLR OS Entry. This confluence suggests aggressive selling pressure in the short term, with the price retreating from a trendline and breaking below it, confirming a bearish shift. The BOP Zero Cross Down further indicates that buying pressure has faded, while the DEMA and EMA Retreat Downs reinforce the downward momentum. The signal's very strong strength and 96% probability reflect the high alignment of these indicators.
However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bearish, the 1-hour through 12-hour timeframes remain bullish, albeit choppy or trend forming. This suggests the current selloff may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, rather than a full reversal. The daily timeframe shows bearish trend forming, adding some longer-term support for the downside. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 216.21400 and support at 215.91500. A break below support could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bearish, the 1-hour through 12-hour timeframes remain bullish, albeit choppy or trend forming. This suggests the current selloff may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, rather than a full reversal. The daily timeframe shows bearish trend forming, adding some longer-term support for the downside. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 216.21400 and support at 215.91500. A break below support could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of over a dozen bearish signals across indicator, trendline, and candlestick groups.
- ▼ Trendline break and retreat confirm a bearish shift in the 30-minute structure.
- ▼ Momentum oscillators (STOCHF, WILLR) and BOP all align to the downside.
- ▼ Daily timeframe shows bearish trend forming, adding longer-term support.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H-12H) are bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
- ▲ The 30-minute trend is rated as choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend conviction.
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 216.21400, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the market enters a consolidation phase near support.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
99%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 21:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 216.21400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 215.91500 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 215.75900 | 2026-08-18 |
| S3 | 215.40200 | 2026-08-17 |
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