USD/CAD – 1D – BUY

2026-08-18 00:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

86%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Position

Prognose: 48% historisch

▲ Bullish 86% (15.04) ▼ Bearish 14% (2.39)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 49m
14:30TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 49m
18:00TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.39
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.02
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.86
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.52
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.21

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold indicators and a trendline break suggest a potential bullish reversal on the daily chart.
The bullish signals are strongest on lower timeframes, but higher timeframes remain bearish, indicating a possible counter-trend bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.42478; a break above could confirm the reversal, while a drop below support at 1.35499 would invalidate it.
The signal has high probability (86%) and very strong strength, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trend.

The USD/CAD daily chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a trendline break down, oversold exits on CCI, RSI, STOCH, and WILLR, a STOCHRSI bullish cross, a retreat up from the lower Bollinger Band, and a shift to trend mode on the HT Trendmode indicator. This confluence suggests that the recent downtrend may be losing momentum and that a reversal could be underway. The signals are supported by a Fibonacci retracement group, indicating that price may be bouncing from a key Fibonacci level. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remains bearish, while lower timeframes (15M to 2H) are turning bullish, suggesting a potential short-term bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.42478 and support at 1.35499 are key levels to watch; a break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple oversold exit signals (RSI, CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and a bullish STOCHRSI cross.
▲ Retreat up from the lower Bollinger Band suggests buying pressure at oversold levels.
▲ Trendline break down and HT Trendmode shift to trend mode indicate a potential change in market structure.
▲ Strong trend scores on lower timeframes (2H) support a short-term bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are still bearish, which could cap any upside and lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.42478 is a significant barrier; failure to break above it could result in a pullback.
▼ Oversold conditions can persist in a strong downtrend, so the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.35499, the bullish scenario would be invalidated.