USD/CHF 1D BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
86%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Position
Prognose: 48% historisch
▲ Bullish 86% (19.08) ▼ Bearish 14% (3.02)
USD/CHF  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
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Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 3.02
EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.96
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.86
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.76
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.71
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.69
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.69
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.66
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.41
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.39
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.38
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the daily chart, but higher timeframes are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.82065; a break above could confirm the bullish move.
  • The nearest support at 0.77951 is the invalidation level; a drop below would negate the bullish setup.
  • The confluence of multiple signals (trendline, pattern, indicators) increases the likelihood of a bounce, but confirmation is needed.
The USD/CHF daily chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, a Bear Flag pattern, and multiple indicator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS Middle Cross Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up). These signals suggest a potential upward reversal or a bounce from a downtrend, with the daily timeframe showing a very strong bullish bias (86% probability). The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and indicator signals adds weight to the bullish case, while the presence of a Fibonacci group hints at possible retracement levels.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are predominantly bearish and choppy, indicating that the daily bullish signal may be counter-trend. The 1H timeframe is mildly bullish but weak, so the overall trend alignment is mixed. The nearest resistance at 0.82065 is a key hurdle; a break above could confirm the bullish move, while the nearest support at 0.77951 is critical—if price falls below, the bullish thesis is invalidated. Traders should watch for momentum to sustain and for price to hold above support.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bullish signals fired on the daily timeframe, including a Trendline Retreat Up and a Bear Flag pattern.
  • Indicator crossovers (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, EMA 50, KAMA, MIDPOINT) align to support upward momentum.
  • The daily trend score is very strong (86% probability), indicating high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the bullish signal may be counter-trend and prone to failure.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.82065 could cap upside if not broken.
  • If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.77951, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • The choppy, sideways conditions on most timeframes may lead to false signals or limited follow-through.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1D
Direction BUY
Probability 86%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82065 2026-07-29
S1 0.77951 2026-05-29
S2 0.77614 2026-05-08

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