USD/CHF – 1D – BUY
BUY
86%
▲ Bullish 86% (19.08)
▼ Bearish 14% (3.02)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 46m
- TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 46m
- TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 4h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 3.02 |
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.86 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.71 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.99 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal on the daily chart, but higher timeframes are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 0.82065; a break above could confirm the bullish move.
- The nearest support at 0.77951 is the invalidation level; a drop below would negate the bullish setup.
- The confluence of multiple signals (trendline, pattern, indicators) increases the likelihood of a bounce, but confirmation is needed.
The USD/CHF daily chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, a Bear Flag pattern, and multiple indicator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS Middle Cross Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up). These signals suggest a potential upward reversal or a bounce from a downtrend, with the daily timeframe showing a very strong bullish bias (86% probability). The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and indicator signals adds weight to the bullish case, while the presence of a Fibonacci group hints at possible retracement levels.
However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are predominantly bearish and choppy, indicating that the daily bullish signal may be counter-trend. The 1H timeframe is mildly bullish but weak, so the overall trend alignment is mixed. The nearest resistance at 0.82065 is a key hurdle; a break above could confirm the bullish move, while the nearest support at 0.77951 is critical—if price falls below, the bullish thesis is invalidated. Traders should watch for momentum to sustain and for price to hold above support.
However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are predominantly bearish and choppy, indicating that the daily bullish signal may be counter-trend. The 1H timeframe is mildly bullish but weak, so the overall trend alignment is mixed. The nearest resistance at 0.82065 is a key hurdle; a break above could confirm the bullish move, while the nearest support at 0.77951 is critical—if price falls below, the bullish thesis is invalidated. Traders should watch for momentum to sustain and for price to hold above support.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired on the daily timeframe, including a Trendline Retreat Up and a Bear Flag pattern.
- ▲ Indicator crossovers (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, EMA 50, KAMA, MIDPOINT) align to support upward momentum.
- ▲ The daily trend score is very strong (86% probability), indicating high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the bullish signal may be counter-trend and prone to failure.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.82065 could cap upside if not broken.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.77951, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ The choppy, sideways conditions on most timeframes may lead to false signals or limited follow-through.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
1D
Direction
BUY
Probability
86%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.82065 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 0.77951 | 2026-05-29 |
| S2 | 0.77614 | 2026-05-08 |
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