USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

2026-08-18 12:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

98%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 56% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 98% (50.87) ▼ Bearish 2% (1.00)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

11:00TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/14)●●○in 5h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 8h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	2.73
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.34
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.33
▲	Double Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	2.31
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	1.97
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.22
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals fired on the 4H, including trendline breaks, double top retreat, and multiple indicator crossovers.
Immediate upside target is resistance at 0.81467, while support at 0.80815 is the key invalidation level.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) remain bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
Strong signal strength (98% probability) suggests high conviction, but conflicting trend alignment warrants caution.

The USD/CHF 4H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, and multiple zero-line crossovers from BOP and CCI, alongside a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and a BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure at the current level, with the price likely attempting to reverse the broader bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.81467 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.80815 serves as the critical invalidation zone.

However, the higher timeframe trend remains predominantly bearish, with the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing bearish momentum, albeit with weak trend scores (1/5 to 2/5). The 30M and 1H are bullish but choppy, indicating that the reversal may lack sustained follow-through. The signal's very high probability (98%) and very strong strength are tempered by this conflicting higher timeframe alignment, so traders should watch for a break above resistance to confirm a larger reversal, or a drop below support to invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals across different groups (trendline, chart pattern, indicator, fibonacci, candlestick).
▲ Trendline Break Up and Trendline Retreat Up indicate a successful breakout and retest, adding technical validity.
▲ Double Top Retreat Up suggests a failed bearish pattern, fueling upside momentum.
▲ Zero-line crossovers from BOP and CCI, plus STOCHRSI and BBANDS crossovers, align to confirm bullish momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend (4H and above) is bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal back down.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 0.80815, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Resistance at 0.81467 is nearby and could stall the advance, especially if the broader downtrend resumes.
▼ Trend scores are weak (1-2/5) across timeframes, indicating choppy conditions and potential false signals.