USD/CHF – 4H – SELL

2026-08-18 08:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

91%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 56% historisch

⚡ Confluence +1%

▲ Bullish 9% (2.17) ▼ Bearish 91% (21.75)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

11:00TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/14)●●○in 9h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 13h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.17
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%)	fibonacci	1.85
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.23
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.00
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.00
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.00
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bearish signal cluster on the 4H chart points to a high-probability sell opportunity.
The trend is bearish across higher timeframes, with lower timeframes showing only weak bullish momentum that is fading.
Watch the resistance at 0.81467 as a potential entry zone and the support at 0.80815 as the first downside objective.
The confluence of trendline, momentum, and moving average signals reinforces the bearish outlook.

The USD/CHF 4H chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up that has flipped to resistance and a series of zero-line crossovers on momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) alongside a STOCHF KD cross down. This confluence indicates a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish, with the HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down and MA Retreat Down confirming a pullback within the larger downtrend. The Fibonacci signal group suggests that price is likely retracing from a key level, adding weight to the bearish case.

Across timeframes, the higher timeframes (2H and above) are all bearish, with the 4H and 2H showing trend formation, while the lower timeframes (15m to 1H) are still bullish but with weak trend scores (1-2/5), indicating that the short-term bounce is losing steam. The alignment of the 4H signal with the broader bearish trend across multiple timeframes strengthens the probability of a continued move lower. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81467, which now acts as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 0.80815, which is the immediate downside target.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment: all timeframes from 2H to 1D are bearish, supporting the 4H sell signal.
▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) have crossed below zero, confirming a shift to bearish momentum.
▼ The Trendline Break Up followed by a retreat suggests that the broken trendline is now acting as resistance, adding to the bearish case.
▼ The HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down and MA Retreat Down indicate that price is pulling back from a resistance level, consistent with a continuation of the downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce before the bearish move resumes.
▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 0.81467, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend might reverse.
▲ The trend scores are relatively low (2/5) on the 4H, indicating that the bearish trend is still forming and may lack strong momentum.
▲ A close above the recent swing high would negate the bearish setup, so watch for a potential false breakout.