USD/JPY 12H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
81%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Position
Prognose: 64% historisch
▲ Bullish 19% (6.01) ▼ Bearish 81% (25.09)
USD/JPY  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 46m
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  • TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bull Flag chart_pattern 3.24
Trendline Break Down trendline 1.99
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.57
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.54
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.19
Northern Doji candlestick 1.19
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.11
SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.07
Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals align: trendline break, bear flag, and moving average retreats.
  • Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid scores on higher timeframes.
  • Key resistance at 163.98400; a break above would invalidate the bearish bias.
  • Downside target is support at 155.22400, but watch for momentum shifts.
The USD/JPY 12H signal is strongly bearish, with a confluence of technical events aligning to confirm downside momentum. The trendline break down, bear flag pattern, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200 and SMA 200) indicate that the pair is under selling pressure from a broader downtrend. The BOP zero cross down and STOCHF KD cross down reinforce the bearish momentum, while the Fibonacci retreat at the 50% level suggests that the recent bounce has stalled, providing a fresh entry for sellers. The candlestick pattern (Northern Doji) adds a note of indecision, but in the context of the other signals, it likely represents a pause before further declines.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 8H, 12H, and 1D charts, while the 4H shows a forming trend (2/5). The lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are choppy and sideways, but they still lean bearish, indicating that the overall direction is intact. The nearest resistance at 163.98400 is a critical level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup, while the nearest support at 155.22400 serves as the primary downside target. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across multiple timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) with solid bearish scores.
  • Confluence of bearish patterns: trendline break, bear flag, and Fibonacci retreat.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) confirm bearish pressure.
  • Price holding below resistance levels supports continuation.
Risk Factors
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 163.98400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Choppy lower timeframes (15m-2h) could lead to sideways consolidation before further decline.
  • The Northern Doji suggests indecision; a bullish reversal pattern could emerge if price stabilizes.
  • If the 4H trend fails to solidify, the bearish momentum may fade.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Probability 81%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 155.22400 2026-08-03
S2 155.03600 2026-05-06

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