USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-08-18 10:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

SELL

97%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 3% (1.72) ▼ Bearish 97% (50.10)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

11:00TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/14)●●○in 10h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 14h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 14h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Triangle	chart_pattern	4.07
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.99
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.73
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.28
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart, including a trendline break and bearish engulfing, points to downward momentum.
The 24% Fibonacci retracement level is being targeted, but the mixed lower timeframe trends may cause volatility.
Watch the nearest support at 158.598; a break below could accelerate selling, while resistance at 163.904 is the key invalidation zone.
Overall, the higher timeframes (4H and above) are bearish, supporting the sell signal, but the 1H and 2H are still bullish, so caution is advised.

The 2H USD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Ascending Triangle breakdown, Bearish Engulfing, and multiple indicator confirmations (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down). These signals collectively indicate a shift from bullish consolidation to bearish momentum, with the Fibonacci Break Down Trend (24%) suggesting a retracement of the prior up move. The confluence of pattern, trendline, and candlestick signals strengthens the bearish case.

However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed: while 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are bearish, the 15M to 2H timeframes are still bullish (trend forming). This suggests that the immediate trend may be rolling over, but the lack of alignment on lower timeframes could lead to choppy price action. Key levels to watch are resistance at 163.904 and support at 158.598. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple signal groups (trendline, candlestick, indicator, fibonacci, chart_pattern) are all aligned bearish.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid bearish trends, providing a supportive backdrop.
▼ The Fibonacci Break Down Trend (24%) indicates a potential retracement target that aligns with the bearish setup.
▼ The bearish engulfing candlestick adds a strong reversal signal at a potential key level.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M to 2H timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or false breakdown.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 163.904, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum indicators may be overextended, leading to a pullback or consolidation before further downside.
▲ The nearest support at 158.598 is a significant level; a bounce there could stall the decline.