USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-18 18:30 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (50.26)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

11:00TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/14)●●○in 5h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●○in 8h
14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	3.23
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%)	fibonacci	2.05
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	2.01
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.00
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.98
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.21
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators aligning.
All timeframes are bearish, with higher timeframes showing solid trends, supporting the downside.
Watch key support at 159.26800; a break could lead to further declines.
Resistance at 159.77400 is the level to watch for invalidation.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Double Top, and multiple zero-cross and midline cross downs (BOP, CMO, RSI). The confluence of these indicators, along with retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and moving averages, points to strong downward momentum in the near term. The bearish alignment across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, reinforces the selling pressure, with higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) showing solid trends.

Key levels to monitor: the nearest resistance at 159.77400 and support at 159.26800. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and high probability, traders should watch for a continuation toward support, but remain alert to any reversal signs.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple technical signals firing simultaneously (Trendline Retreat Down, Double Top, RSI Midline Cross Down).
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with solid trends on 8H, 12H, and 1D.
▼ Price retreating from upper Bollinger Band and moving averages, indicating selling pressure.
▼ High signal probability (96%) and very strong strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Price could bounce off support at 159.26800, leading to a short-term reversal.
▲ A break above resistance at 159.77400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the RSI or other oscillators show bullish divergence.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on mid-term timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) may lead to false breakouts.