USD/JPY 8H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
76%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 29% historisch
▲ Bullish 24% (5.32) ▼ Bearish 76% (17.27)
USD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
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All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bull Pennant chart_pattern 3.35
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.65
EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.50
SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.21
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.94
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.79
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.58
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.17
Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.17

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 8H chart with multiple signals aligning.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with higher timeframes showing solid downtrends.
  • Watch for a break below 156.672 support to confirm further downside.
  • Resistance at 163.984 caps any bounce; a close above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The USD/JPY 8H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bull Pennant breakdown, with momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and BOP Zero Cross Down confirm selling pressure, while the EMA 50 and SMA 50 Retreat Down indicate that price is pulling back from key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias. The Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) suggests that the pair has retraced to a significant level within the downtrend, providing a potential entry zone for sellers.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, though the lower timeframes (15m to 2H) show a weaker trend formation, while the 8H, 12H, and 1D all exhibit solid downtrends. This alignment supports the continuation of the move lower. The nearest resistance at 163.984 acts as a barrier to any upside correction, while the nearest support at 156.672 is the primary downside target. A break below this support would open the door for further declines, but until then, the bearish momentum is expected to persist.
Catalysts
  • Trendline Break Down and Bull Pennant breakdown provide strong chart pattern confluence.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (STOCHF, BOP) confirm selling pressure.
  • EMA 50 and SMA 50 retreats align with the bearish trend.
  • Fibonacci retracement at 50% offers a logical entry level within the downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • A close above the nearest resistance at 163.984 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Lower timeframes (15m to 2H) show weak trend strength, suggesting possible consolidation or a short-term bounce.
  • If the price fails to break below support, the bearish momentum could fade, leading to a range-bound market.
  • Any unexpected bullish news or shift in market sentiment could trigger a reversal.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Probability 76%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 156.67200 2026-08-07
S2 155.22400 2026-08-03
S3 155.03600 2026-05-06

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