XRP/USDT – 4H – BUY
BUY
78%
▲ Bullish 78% (18.33)
▼ Bearish 22% (5.13)
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Signal evolution
Events for XRP/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 15h
- TomorrowUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 19h
- August 20, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims (Aug/15)●●●Forecast 201in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.65 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.18 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.45 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 1.18 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.04 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.04 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 0.98 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The 4H chart shows a confluence of bullish signals, but the higher timeframes remain bearish, so treat this as a potential bounce, not a reversal.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 1.04880; a break above could extend the move, while a rejection keeps the downtrend intact.
- Support at 0.98620 is the immediate floor; a break below would invalidate the bullish signals.
- Signal strength is weak (58%), so position sizing should be conservative.
The 4H chart for XRP/USDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, a BOP Zero Cross Up, and a STOCHF KD Cross Up, alongside a Support Level Retreat Up. These suggest a short-term bounce is underway, with momentum shifting from bearish to neutral/bullish. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) remains bearish and solid, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.04880 and support at 0.98620. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, but the weak signal strength (58% probability) and the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution. The Fibonacci BreakDown Trend at 24% suggests the pullback has retraced only a quarter of the prior down move, leaving room for further downside if the bounce fails.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.04880 and support at 0.98620. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, but the weak signal strength (58% probability) and the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution. The Fibonacci BreakDown Trend at 24% suggests the pullback has retraced only a quarter of the prior down move, leaving room for further downside if the bounce fails.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple indicators align on the 4H: Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit all support a bullish move.
- ▲ Support Level Retreat Up indicates buyers stepping in at a key level, adding confluence.
- ▲ The 1H trend is bullish, providing a short-term tailwind for the 4H bounce.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are all bearish with solid trends, which could overwhelm the 4H bounce.
- ▼ The 15m and 30m trends are bearish, suggesting the bounce may lack immediate momentum.
- ▼ The Fibonacci BreakDown Trend at 24% shows the pullback is shallow, so the downtrend may resume if resistance holds.
- ▼ Watch the invalidation level at 0.98620; a break below would negate the bullish signals.
Symbol
XRP/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
78%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 04:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.04880 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 1.09330 | 2026-08-02 |
| R3 | 1.09500 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.98620 | 2026-08-14 |
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