AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

2026-08-19 21:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

81%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 81% (15.94) ▼ Bearish 19% (3.78)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TodayCADPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 12%Previous 12.4%in 3h
12:30TodayCADNew Housing Price Index MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous -0.1%in 3h
12:30TodayCADPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous -1.4%in 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	2.40
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.89
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.79
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.73
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.15
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals fired on the 1H chart, pointing to a potential upward move.
Momentum and trend indicators are aligned bullish on the intraday timeframes (30m to 4h).
Key levels: resistance at 0.98744, support at 0.98071.
Higher timeframes (8h and above) are still bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.

The AUD/CAD 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Down followed by a Trendline Retreat Up, which together suggest a failed breakdown and a return to the upside. Momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all show bullish zero-line or midline crosses, while the DEMA and EMA retreats confirm a pullback that is being bought. The confluence of these signals across candlestick, indicator, trendline, fibonacci, and support/resistance groups gives the signal a very strong probability (97%).

On the higher timeframes, the trend is mixed but leaning bullish in the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h charts, which supports the intraday long bias. However, the 15m and 8h to 1d timeframes remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend move on the higher levels. The nearest resistance at 0.98744 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.98071 is the key level to hold. A break above resistance could open the door to further gains, but a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including trendline, momentum, and moving average retreats.
▲ Trend is bullish on the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes, providing alignment for the long bias.
▲ The failed breakdown (Trendline Break Down then Retreat Up) suggests buyers are defending the level.
▲ Strong signal probability (97%) and very strong strength indicate high confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The 15m trend is bearish and choppy, indicating short-term weakness.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.98071, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break above resistance at 0.98744.