AUD/JPY 1H SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
84%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 16% (8.79) ▼ Bearish 84% (45.56)
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 10h
  • TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 10h
  • TomorrowAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 12h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Rising Wedge chart_pattern 3.29
Trendline Break Up trendline 3.13
Double Top chart_pattern 2.50
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.96
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
Trendline Break Down trendline 1.89
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.74
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.72
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.65
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.62
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.61
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.45
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.25
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.24

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on 1H align to suggest a strong short-term sell opportunity.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are all bearish, confirming the immediate downtrend.
  • Watch the 112.742 support level; a break could lead to further downside.
  • Be cautious: higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, so this could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Double Top, Rising Wedge, and multiple trendline breaks (both up and down), alongside momentum and moving-average retreats. Together, these indicate a strong shift from bullish to bearish momentum, with sellers taking control after a failed upside push. The confluence of chart patterns and indicator signals on the 1H timeframe suggests a high-probability short setup, supported by a very strong signal strength.

Across timeframes, the short-term bias is clearly bearish, with 15m, 30m, and 1h all showing solid downtrends (3/5). However, the medium-term picture is mixed: 2h is bearish but still forming, while 4h, 8h, and 12h remain bullish, indicating that the bearish move is currently a correction within a larger uptrend. The daily timeframe is bearish but only forming (2/5), adding some uncertainty. Key levels to watch: immediate resistance at 113.606, and support at 112.742. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bearish patterns (Double Top, Rising Wedge) and trendline breaks.
  • Momentum indicators (STOCH KD, BOP) crossing down, confirming selling pressure.
  • Moving averages (DEMA, EMA) retreating, indicating a shift in trend.
  • Strong signal strength (94% probability) and very strong rating.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
  • The 1H trend is solid but not extreme; a bounce from support could invalidate the setup.
  • If price reclaims the 113.606 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens.
  • Watch for any bullish reversal signals on lower timeframes that might indicate fading momentum.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 84%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 113.60600 2026-08-18
S1 112.74200 2026-08-17
S2 112.41900 2026-08-14
S3 112.20800 2026-08-13

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