AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
84%
▲ Bullish 16% (8.79)
▼ Bearish 84% (45.56)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 10h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 10h
- TomorrowAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 12h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Rising Wedge | chart_pattern | 3.29 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 3.13 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 2.50 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.89 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 1.62 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.25 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.24 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on 1H align to suggest a strong short-term sell opportunity.
- Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are all bearish, confirming the immediate downtrend.
- Watch the 112.742 support level; a break could lead to further downside.
- Be cautious: higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, so this could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Double Top, Rising Wedge, and multiple trendline breaks (both up and down), alongside momentum and moving-average retreats. Together, these indicate a strong shift from bullish to bearish momentum, with sellers taking control after a failed upside push. The confluence of chart patterns and indicator signals on the 1H timeframe suggests a high-probability short setup, supported by a very strong signal strength.
Across timeframes, the short-term bias is clearly bearish, with 15m, 30m, and 1h all showing solid downtrends (3/5). However, the medium-term picture is mixed: 2h is bearish but still forming, while 4h, 8h, and 12h remain bullish, indicating that the bearish move is currently a correction within a larger uptrend. The daily timeframe is bearish but only forming (2/5), adding some uncertainty. Key levels to watch: immediate resistance at 113.606, and support at 112.742. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the short-term bias is clearly bearish, with 15m, 30m, and 1h all showing solid downtrends (3/5). However, the medium-term picture is mixed: 2h is bearish but still forming, while 4h, 8h, and 12h remain bullish, indicating that the bearish move is currently a correction within a larger uptrend. The daily timeframe is bearish but only forming (2/5), adding some uncertainty. Key levels to watch: immediate resistance at 113.606, and support at 112.742. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish patterns (Double Top, Rising Wedge) and trendline breaks.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (STOCH KD, BOP) crossing down, confirming selling pressure.
- ▼ Moving averages (DEMA, EMA) retreating, indicating a shift in trend.
- ▼ Strong signal strength (94% probability) and very strong rating.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
- ▲ The 1H trend is solid but not extreme; a bounce from support could invalidate the setup.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 113.606 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens.
- ▲ Watch for any bullish reversal signals on lower timeframes that might indicate fading momentum.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
84%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 113.60600 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 112.74200 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 112.41900 | 2026-08-14 |
| S3 | 112.20800 | 2026-08-13 |
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