AUD/JPY 2H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
88%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 40% historisch
⚡ Confluence +39%
▲ Bullish 88% (16.94) ▼ Bearish 12% (2.33)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Previous 1.7in 20h
  • TodayJPYInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Previous 0.3in 20h
  • TodayJPYCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Previous 1.6in 20h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.56
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.39
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.25
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 2.19
Support Level Retreat Up sr 1.77
SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.68
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (38%) fibonacci 1.57
Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.13
Hammer candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bullish signals on the 2H chart suggest a potential short-term bounce.
  • The broader trend remains bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade with limited upside.
  • Key levels: resistance at 113.606, support at 112.419.
  • Watch for confirmation above 113.606 or invalidation below 112.419.
The 2H AUD/JPY signal is a confluence of multiple bullish triggers, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, SMA 200 Retreat Up, Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (38%), and bullish candlestick patterns (Hammer, Long Legged Doji). These signals collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is losing steam and that a short-term bounce is likely. The price is currently near the lower boundary of a broader range, with nearest support at 112.419 and resistance at 113.606.

However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and the 4H still bearish. The 15M is just starting to form a bullish trend, indicating that the bounce may be early. The alignment across timeframes is mixed, so the bullish signal should be viewed as a counter-trend opportunity within a larger downtrend. Traders should watch for a break above 113.606 to confirm further upside, while a move below 112.419 would invalidate the bullish case.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of candlestick patterns (Hammer, Long Legged Doji) and indicator signals (STOCHF, WILLR, BOP) at a key support level.
  • Fibonacci retracement at 38% suggests a potential pullback point within an uptrend.
  • SMA 200 retreat up indicates the price is pulling back to a dynamic support level.
  • Trendline break down may signal a reversal from the recent downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe trends (1H, 4H) are strongly bearish, which could overpower the 2H bullish signal.
  • The 15M trend is only forming, so the bounce may lack momentum.
  • A break below 112.419 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further downside.
  • The nearest resistance at 113.606 is a potential ceiling that could cap gains.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 88%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 113.60600 2026-08-18
R2 114.65800 2026-07-27
S1 112.41900 2026-08-14
S2 112.13400 2026-08-12
S3 110.76500 2026-08-07

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