AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
84%
▲ Bullish 84% (33.26)
▼ Bearish 16% (6.38)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 5h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 5h
- TomorrowAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 6h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Rising Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.75 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.33 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.33 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Cross Up | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.63 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish reversal signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential bounce, but the daily and hourly trends remain bearish.
- Watch the resistance at 113.606 and support at 112.742 for confirmation or invalidation.
- The strong signal strength (83%) and multiple confirmations increase the likelihood of a short-term up move.
- A break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Rising Wedge, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up. These signals suggest that the recent bearish momentum is stalling and that buyers are stepping in, potentially reversing the short-term trend. However, the broader context remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 1-hour and 2-hour charts showing solid downtrends. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish reversal signals and the longer-term bearish trend.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 113.606 and support at 112.742. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and could trigger further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the strong signal strength (83% probability) and the confluence of multiple indicators, traders may look for long opportunities, but should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframes.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 113.606 and support at 112.742. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and could trigger further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the strong signal strength (83% probability) and the confluence of multiple indicators, traders may look for long opportunities, but should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including trendline break, rising wedge, and moving-average retreats.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure.
- ▲ Strong signal probability (83%) and high strength suggest robust confluence.
- ▲ Nearest resistance is relatively close, providing a clear target for a potential move.
Risk Factors
- ▼ All higher timeframes are bearish, with solid trends on the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, which could overpower the short-term bullish reversal.
- ▼ The 15-minute and 8-hour charts are choppy, indicating a lack of clear direction and potential for false signals.
- ▼ If price fails to break above resistance and drops below support at 112.742, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the broader downtrend reasserts itself, leading to a sharp reversal.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
84%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 20:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 113.60600 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 112.74200 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 112.41900 | 2026-08-14 |
| S3 | 112.20800 | 2026-08-13 |
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