AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (46.43)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 14h
- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 14h
- TomorrowAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 15h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Rising Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.92 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.39 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.35 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | CMO OS Exit | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.64 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNVery strong trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- AUD/JPY is showing a very strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, with multiple confirmations.
- The break of a rising wedge and trendline, along with moving average retreats, points to continued downside.
- Key levels: support at 112.74200, resistance at 113.60600.
- While short-term trends are bearish, higher timeframes are still bullish, so caution is advised.
The AUD/JPY pair has triggered a comprehensive bearish signal on the 30-minute timeframe, with a very strong confluence of technical factors. The break of a rising wedge pattern, combined with a trendline break and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA), indicates a decisive shift in short-term momentum. The BOP zero cross down and CMO exit from overbought conditions further confirm that selling pressure is building. This alignment across chart patterns, indicators, trendlines, and candlestick signals suggests a high-probability bearish move.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from the 15-minute to the 2-hour charts, with the 30-minute showing a solid trend (3/5). However, higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could provide a counter-trend headwind. The nearest support at 112.74200 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 113.60600 serves as the invalidation level if price reclaims it. The strength of the signal is very strong, but traders should watch for potential pullbacks if the higher-timeframe bullish trend reasserts itself.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from the 15-minute to the 2-hour charts, with the 30-minute showing a solid trend (3/5). However, higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could provide a counter-trend headwind. The nearest support at 112.74200 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 113.60600 serves as the invalidation level if price reclaims it. The strength of the signal is very strong, but traders should watch for potential pullbacks if the higher-timeframe bullish trend reasserts itself.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong confluence of bearish signals: trendline break, rising wedge, and multiple moving average retreats.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes.
- ▼ BOP zero cross down and CMO exit from overbought conditions confirm selling momentum.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength (85% probability) increases the likelihood of follow-through.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 113.60600, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if the 30-minute trend score weakens or if the 1H trend fails to strengthen.
- ▲ The bullish trend on higher timeframes could lead to a bounce from support, so watch for reversal signals at 112.74200.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 22:35
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 113.60600 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 112.74200 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 112.41900 | 2026-08-14 |
| S3 | 112.20800 | 2026-08-13 |
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