AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (46.43)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 14h
  • TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 14h
  • TomorrowAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 15h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Rising Wedge chart_pattern 2.92
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.39
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.35
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.23
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
CMO OS Exit indicator 1.87
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.84
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.75
Support Level Retreat Up sr 1.64
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.55
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.44
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
Shooting Star candlestick 0.78

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • AUD/JPY is showing a very strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, with multiple confirmations.
  • The break of a rising wedge and trendline, along with moving average retreats, points to continued downside.
  • Key levels: support at 112.74200, resistance at 113.60600.
  • While short-term trends are bearish, higher timeframes are still bullish, so caution is advised.
The AUD/JPY pair has triggered a comprehensive bearish signal on the 30-minute timeframe, with a very strong confluence of technical factors. The break of a rising wedge pattern, combined with a trendline break and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA), indicates a decisive shift in short-term momentum. The BOP zero cross down and CMO exit from overbought conditions further confirm that selling pressure is building. This alignment across chart patterns, indicators, trendlines, and candlestick signals suggests a high-probability bearish move.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from the 15-minute to the 2-hour charts, with the 30-minute showing a solid trend (3/5). However, higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could provide a counter-trend headwind. The nearest support at 112.74200 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 113.60600 serves as the invalidation level if price reclaims it. The strength of the signal is very strong, but traders should watch for potential pullbacks if the higher-timeframe bullish trend reasserts itself.
Catalysts
  • Strong confluence of bearish signals: trendline break, rising wedge, and multiple moving average retreats.
  • Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes.
  • BOP zero cross down and CMO exit from overbought conditions confirm selling momentum.
  • Very strong signal strength (85% probability) increases the likelihood of follow-through.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
  • If price reclaims the resistance at 113.60600, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
  • Momentum may fade if the 30-minute trend score weakens or if the 1H trend fails to strengthen.
  • The bullish trend on higher timeframes could lead to a bounce from support, so watch for reversal signals at 112.74200.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 22:35
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 113.60600 2026-08-18
S1 112.74200 2026-08-17
S2 112.41900 2026-08-14
S3 112.20800 2026-08-13

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