EUR/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-08-19 14:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

85%

▼ SELL

STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 40% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 15% (6.01) ▼ Bearish 85% (33.77)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

04:30TodayEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 1h
06:00TodayEURPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.3%in 2h
06:00TodayEURPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.4%Previous 1.8%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.90
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.76
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.49
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.08
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.88
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.86
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.78
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.75
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	0.75
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart, including a trendline break and multiple zero-line crossovers, points to strong selling pressure.
All timeframes are bearish, but the 2H and 4H are choppy, so the trend is still forming and may lack momentum.
Key levels: support at 183.59600 and resistance at 184.90600; a break below support could trigger further downside.
The signal is very strong (97% probability) but should be validated by price action around support.

The EUR/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and multiple zero-line crossovers (APO, BOP, CMO) alongside DI and DM Cross Downs. This confluence indicates strong selling momentum that has broken a key trendline, with the RSI Midline Cross Down confirming bearish momentum. The signal is exceptionally strong (97% probability) and aligns with a bearish bias across all monitored timeframes, from 15m to 1D, although the 2H and 4H show choppy/sideways conditions, suggesting the trend is still developing.

Immediate focus is on the nearest support at 183.59600, which serves as the first downside target. A break below this level could open further downside, while resistance at 184.90600 acts as a barrier for any corrective bounce. The alignment of signals across multiple groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick, Fibonacci, and support/resistance) reinforces the bearish case. However, the choppy nature of the 2H and 4H timeframes warrants caution, as the trend may not be fully established. Traders should watch for a sustained move below support to confirm continuation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (APO, BOP, CMO, DI, DM) all crossing below zero, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ Trendline break down adds a technical pattern that often precedes sustained moves.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, even if some are choppy, supports the overall downtrend.
▼ RSI midline cross down signals that bearish momentum is gaining traction.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 2H and 4H timeframes could lead to false breakouts or range-bound trading.
▲ The nearest support at 183.59600 may hold, causing a bounce and invalidating the bearish signal if price reverses.
▲ If the trendline break fails and price reclaims above 184.90600, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum, as indicated by the trend scores (2/5 or lower on most timeframes), suggests the trend may not be robust enough for a strong move.