EUR/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
90%
▲ Bullish 10% (3.48)
▼ Bearish 90% (32.70)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.1%in 6h
- TodayEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.4%in 6h
- TodayEURCPI (Jul)●●○Forecast 103.22Previous 103.02in 6h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Symmetrical Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.48 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.85 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.54 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.00 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 0.88 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 0.79 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.75 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.72 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.63 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals (trendline break, triangle breakdown, momentum crossovers) align on the 2H chart.
- The trend is bearish across most timeframes, with the strongest bearish momentum on the 15m and 30m.
- Watch the nearest support at 183.596 for a potential breakdown target; resistance at 187.467 is the key invalidation level.
- The 8H timeframe is still bullish, which could limit downside if price retraces.
The EUR/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown, with supporting momentum crossovers (BOP, CMO, DI, DM, MOM, ROC) all crossing below zero or their signal lines. This confluence indicates a strong shift in short-term momentum and a likely continuation of the prevailing downtrend. The bearish bias is consistent across the 15m, 30m, 12h, and 1d timeframes, though the 1H, 2H, and 4H are choppy, suggesting the trend is still developing on the higher intraday frames. The 8H timeframe is bullish, but it is also choppy, which may limit downside follow-through.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 187.467 and the nearest support at 183.596. A break below the support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. The alignment of multiple technical signals and the bearish trend across most timeframes support a sell bias, but the choppy nature of the higher intraday timeframes warrants caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 187.467 and the nearest support at 183.596. A break below the support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. The alignment of multiple technical signals and the bearish trend across most timeframes support a sell bias, but the choppy nature of the higher intraday timeframes warrants caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong confluence of bearish signals across chart patterns, trendlines, and momentum indicators.
- ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 12h, and 1d timeframes.
- ▼ Trendline break and symmetrical triangle breakdown suggest a potential continuation of the downtrend.
- ▼ High signal probability (90%) and very strong strength score.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 8H timeframe is still bullish, which could provide support and cause a bounce.
- ▲ The 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend momentum.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 187.467 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum indicators are crossing down but may be overextended, leading to a short-term pullback.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
90%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 187.46700 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 183.59600 | 2026-08-14 |
| S2 | 183.15100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 181.31200 | 2026-08-07 |
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