EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-19 09:30 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

83%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 83% (35.48) ▼ Bearish 17% (7.29)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 3h
23:50TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 3h
04:30TomorrowEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.47
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.20
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.00
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.65
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.91
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of bullish signals on the 30M chart suggests a short-term bounce in EUR/JPY.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend rally.
Watch the nearest resistance at 184.90600 and support at 184.43900 for direction.
The very strong signal strength (92%) indicates high confluence, but caution is warranted due to the bearish higher timeframe.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, and an EMA 200 Retreat Up, among others. This convergence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests that downside pressure is easing and a short-term bounce is underway. The signal strength is very strong with a 92% probability, indicating high confluence across multiple signal groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, trendline, sr).

However, the broader trend context is bearish across all timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing solid downtrends (3/5) and higher timeframes (1h to 12h) choppy or trend-forming, also bearish. This suggests the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 184.90600 and support at 184.43900. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing above zero or signaling up, indicating strong bullish momentum.
▲ The EMA 200 Retreat Up suggests price is bouncing off the 200-period EMA, a classic bullish reversal signal.
▲ The Trendline Break Down (bullish) adds confluence, as price breaking above a downtrend line often signals a reversal.
▲ The signal strength is very strong (92%), reflecting a high degree of alignment among signals.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H to 12H) are all bearish, even if choppy, which could cap any upside and resume the downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 184.90600 is a potential barrier; failure to break above it could lead to a reversal back down.
▼ If price loses the nearest support at 184.43900, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
▼ Momentum signals can be prone to false signals in a strong downtrend, so a quick fade is possible.